A Very Good Fantasy Season for Kirk Cousins

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Kirk Cousins had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He was the number #12 ranked QB. Even though he missed a few games, he played enough to make his overall fantasy rank better than what it is based on average fantasy points where he is the #18 QB. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 25.5 FPs in his first 5 games and 19.3 FP in his final 6 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.43 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Cousins when he 'goes off' is 40 fantasy points (his average is 21FPs) with a floor of 9 points. Kirk Cousins (2019 Season Projection: 4289 Yards, 25 TDs, 14 INTs, 144 Rushyd) is projected to take a slight step downward in the upcoming fantasy season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #18 player at his position.

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CURRENT CAREER TREND AND STATISTICS

His FP average has dropped by -7 percent from two seasons ago.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points336333337
FP Average2120.822.5
Regular Season GP161615

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

He was the #12 ranked fantasy QB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 21 FP per game (#18 ranked based on average). He is trending down based on lower per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

2017-2018FPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (32 Games)668772/1146, 67.4%839157233025
QB Rank#8#6#6#6#44#16#7
Average Stats20.924.1/35.8, 67.4%2621.80.79.40.2
QB Rank (Averages)#14#6#14#13#20#33#19
2018 SeasonFPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (16 Games)336425/606, 70.1%429830101231
QB Rank#12#4#10#9#20#24#19
Average Stats2126.6/37.9, 70.1%2691.90.67.70.1
QB Rank (Averages)#18#4#16#14#13#35#28
2017 SeasonFPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (16 Games)332347/540, 64.3%409327131794
QB Rank#6#16#7#8#30#14#6
Average Stats20.721.7/33.8, 64.3%2561.70.811.20.2
QB Rank (Averages)#10#16#11#11#19#22#10

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 18.4 points and on DraftKings it was 19.5 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 7.9 and on FanDuel it was 7.9 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 32.7 and on FanDuel it was 29.7 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All18.4 ($8K)4 G, 5 B19.5 ($6.1K)4 G, 4 B
12/30 CHI10--10--
12/23 @DET22.2 ($7.6K)+3.822.2 ($6K)--
12/16 MIA16.3 ($7.8K)--16.3 ($6.2K)--
12/10 @SEA10.8 ($7.6K)-7.610.8 ($5.6K)-8.7
12/2 @NE10 ($7.6K)-8.410 ($5.5K)-9.5
11/25 GB27.4 ($8.3K)+930.4 ($5.5K)+10.9
11/18 @CHI17 ($8.3K)--17 ($5.6K)--
11/4 DET7.9 ($8.3K)-10.57.9 ($6.2K)-11.6
10/28 NO21.7 ($8K)--24.7 ($6.4K)+5.2
10/21 @NYJ17.5 ($8K)--17.5 ($6.4K)--
10/14 ARI18.1 ($7.9K)--18.6 ($6.7K)--
10/7 @PHI14.1 ($7.7K)-4.317.1 ($6K)--
9/27 @LAR29.7 ($8.6K)+11.332.7 ($5.3K)+13.2
9/23 BUF11 ($8.6K)-7.411 ($6.8K)-8.5
9/16 @GB32.5 ($7.5K)+14.135.5 ($6.4K)+16
9/9 SF20.4 ($7.6K)--20.4 ($6.5K)--