A Very Good Fantasy Season for Vance McDonald

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Vance McDonald had a good fantasy season and was a 'second tier' fantasy star. He was the number #11 ranked TE and the #245 ranked player overall. Even though he missed a few games, he played enough to make his overall fantasy rank better than what it is based on average fantasy points where he is the #16 TE. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 6.4 FPs in his first 4 games and 4.5 FP in his final 5 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.71 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 5.7 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 17 fantasy points. Vance McDonald (2019 Season Projection: 54 Rec, 647 Yards, 3.5 TDs) is projected to deliver comparable fantasy value in 2019 where his projection based rank has him as the #11 player at his position.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He was sble to improve his fantasy production significantly this season. His average Fantasy points increased by 104% this season.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points852864
FP Average5.72.86.4
Regular Season GP151010

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Vance McDonald played in 15 games in 2018. He was the #12 ranked fantasy TE based on total fantasy points. He averaged 5.5 FP per game (#16 ranked based on average). He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is stronger in certain categories which are bolded below.

2017-2018FPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (25 Games)10864798597001
TE Rank#19#21#19#20#23#138#138#59
Average Stats4.32.631.90.23.9000
TE Rank (Averages)#29#29#24#38#28#1#1#67
2018 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (15 Games)8350610473001
TE Rank#12#12#11#9#12#124#124#46
Average Stats5.53.340.70.274.9000.1
TE Rank (Averages)#16#19#15#24#17#1#1#49
2017 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (10 Games)2514188124000
TE Rank#49#49#45#41#48#99#99#1
Average Stats2.51.418.80.12.4000
TE Rank (Averages)#47#49#42#52#45#1#1#1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 7.3 points and on DraftKings it was 9.2 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 1.6 and on FanDuel it was 1.1 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 14.4 and 12.4 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All7.3 ($5.2K)4 G, 7 B9.2 ($3.6K)4 G, 6 B
12/30 CIN5.4--6.9--
12/23 @NO5.4 ($5.5K)-1.95.9 ($4.1K)-3.3
12/16 NE8.3 ($5.5K)--9.3 ($3.9K)--
12/9 @OAK5.7 ($5.5K)-1.67.7 ($3.8K)--
12/2 LAC4.8 ($5.5K)-2.56.8 ($3.8K)-2.4
11/25 @DEN4.2 ($5.5K)-3.15.7 ($4.3K)-3.5
11/18 @JAC10.2 ($5.5K)+2.911.7 ($4K)+2.5
11/8 CAR12.4 ($5.3K)+5.114.4 ($3.6K)+5.2
11/4 @BAL4 ($5.3K)-3.35.5 ($3.7K)-3.7
10/28 CLE6.2 ($5.3K)--7.7 ($3.7K)--
10/14 @CIN10.3 ($4.6K)+313.8 ($3.4K)+4.6
10/7 ATL1.1 ($4.6K)-6.21.6 ($3.7K)-7.6
9/30 BAL6.7 ($4.8K)--9.2 ($2.9K)--
9/24 @TB19.2 ($4.8K)+11.924.2 ($3.1K)+15
9/16 KC4.1 ($4.8K)-3.25.6 ($3.1K)-3.6