Mike Evans Was the #6 Fantasy WR

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Mike Evans was the #37 ranked fantasy player this season and the #6 WR. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (16). Based on average fantasy points he is the #7 WR. His fantasy production did not rise or fall significantly as the season went on. If you break up his season into 3 equal segments (start, middle, end) his average started at 13.3 FPs, ended at 12.6 FPs, and was 13.1 FPs in between. His fantasy production is stable and he is not as volatile as most players based on a below average standard deviation. Our projected ceiling for Evans when he 'goes off' is 24 fantasy points (his average is 13FPs). Mike Evans (2019 Season Projection: 101 Rec, 1543 Yards, 6.4 TDs) is projected to deliver comparable fantasy value in 2019 where his projection based rank has him as the #5 player at his position.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

As a young player he improved as you would like. His fantasy average improved by 44%.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points207135197
FP Average13913.1
Regular Season GP161515

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

He was the #6 ranked fantasy WR based on total fantasy points. He averaged 12.8 FP per game (#7 ranked based on average). He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

2017-2018FPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (31 Games)337157252513275001
WR Rank#9#14#8#12#9#251#251#105
Average Stats10.95.181.50.428.9000
WR Rank (Averages)#9#17#9#23#11#1#1#109
2018 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (16 Games)2048615248139001
WR Rank#6#11#3#11#10#227#227#104
Average Stats12.85.495.20.58.7000.1
WR Rank (Averages)#7#16#3#17#13#1#1#104
2017 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (15 Games)1327110015136000
WR Rank#19#15#13#27#11#183#183#1
Average Stats8.84.766.70.339.1000
WR Rank (Averages)#19#16#14#31#9#1#1#1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 14.8 points and on DraftKings it was 18.9 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 2.6 and on FanDuel it was 2.1 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 32.9 and on FanDuel it was 26.9 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All14.8 ($7.7K)5 G, 6 B18.9 ($7.5K)4 G, 6 B
12/30 ATL25.6--31.6--
12/23 @DAL18 ($7.2K)+3.221 ($6.8K)--
12/16 @BAL14.1 ($7.3K)--19.1 ($6.7K)--
12/9 NO10.6 ($7.7K)-4.212.6 ($7.5K)-6.3
12/2 CAR6.8 ($7.9K)-88.8 ($8.1K)-10.1
11/25 SF14.6 ($7.9K)--20.6 ($7.7K)--
11/18 @NYG27 ($7.4K)+12.233 ($7.3K)+14.1
11/11 WAS6.6 ($7.5K)-8.28.1 ($7K)-10.8
11/4 @CAR2.1 ($7.9K)-12.72.6 ($8.1K)-16.3
10/28 @CIN26.9 ($7.8K)+12.132.9 ($7.8K)+14
10/21 CLE14.2 ($7.8K)--20.7 ($7.7K)--
10/14 @ATL7.8 ($8K)-79.8 ($8.1K)-9.1
9/30 @CHI8.9 ($7.9K)-5.911.9 ($7.9K)-7
9/24 PIT22.7 ($7.9K)+7.928.7 ($7.3K)+9.8
9/16 PHI17.3 ($7.9K)--22.3 ($7.3K)--
9/9 @NO24.2 ($7.7K)+9.430.7 ($6.7K)+11.8