Jameis Winston is Projected to Have a Better Fantasy Season in 2019

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOR 2019

Jameis Winston had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He was the number #21 ranked QB. He would have been in that next tier of QBs if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he was the #13 QB. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 23.2 FPs in his first 3 games and 20.9 FP in his final 4 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.49 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Winston when he 'goes off' is 39 fantasy points (his average is 21.5FPs) with a floor of 4 points. Jameis Winston (2019 Season Projection: 4822 Yards, 27 TDs, 20 INTs, 311 Rushyd) is projected to improve in the upcoming season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #9 player at his position.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His fantasy average improved by 17%.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points237240296
FP Average21.518.419.7
Regular Season GP111315

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Jameis Winston only saw the field in 11 games in 2018. It is important to note that if he played a full season, at his average, he would be ranked as the #13 QB. In 2017 he was the #20 ranked fantasy QB and averaged 18.3 FP per game. He is stronger in certain categories which are bolded below.

2017-2018FPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (24 Games)472526/820, 64.1%649638254182
QB Rank#22#30#15#21#51#13#21
Average Stats19.721.9/34.2, 64.1%2711.6117.40.1
QB Rank (Averages)#20#30#9#19#45#18#33
2018 SeasonFPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (11 Games)234244/378, 64.6%299219142831
QB Rank#21#25#22#21#35#10#19
Average Stats21.322.2/34.4, 64.6%2721.71.325.70.1
QB Rank (Averages)#13#25#13#16#39#9#25
2017 SeasonFPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (13 Games)238282/442, 63.8%350419111351
QB Rank#20#19#13#18#25#18#16
Average Stats18.321.7/34, 63.8%2701.50.810.40.1
QB Rank (Averages)#17#19#7#16#25#25#21

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 17.9 FD points and 19.1 DK points per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 5.3 and on FanDuel it was 5.3 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 25.9 and on FanDuel it was 22.9 FPs. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), and an equal number of good and bad games on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All17.9 ($7.3K)4 G, 3 B19.1 ($5.8K)3 G, 3 B
12/30 ATL31.1--34.1--
12/23 @DAL14.8 ($7K)--17.8 ($5.5K)--
12/16 @BAL5.3 ($7K)-12.65.3 ($5.6K)-13.8
12/9 NO20.2 ($7.7K)--20.2 ($6.2K)--
12/2 CAR22.8 ($7.5K)+4.922.8 ($6K)--
11/25 SF22.9 ($7.5K)+525.9 ($6K)+6.8
11/18 @NYG16.6 ($7.1K)--16.6 ($5.6K)--
10/28 @CIN12.8 ($7.8K)-5.112.8 ($6K)-6.3
10/21 CLE22.1 ($7.8K)+4.225.1 ($6.3K)+6
10/14 @ATL32.9 ($7.4K)+1535.9 ($5.8K)+16.8
9/30 @CHI8.5 ($6.2K)-9.48.5 ($5.1K)-10.6