Peyton Barber: A Young Player on the Rise

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Peyton Barber had a good, but not elite, year in fantasy. He was the #98 ranked fantasy player this season and the #27 RB. Even though he missed a few games, he played enough to make his overall fantasy rank better than what it is based on average fantasy points where he is the #38 RB. He was trending up for the season. In his first 5 games he averaged 6.9 FPs. He improved to 8.7 in his final 6 games. Given he still relatively young, he should be able to continue showing improvement next season. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.59 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Barber when he 'goes off' is 17 fantasy points (his average is 8.3FPs) with a floor of 3 points. Peyton Barber (2019 Season Projection: 207 Rush, 800 Yards, 5.5 TDs, 17 Rec, 79 Yards, 0.5 TDs) is projected to take a slight step downward in the upcoming fantasy season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #32 player at his position.

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His three season trend show an increase of 137% in fantasy points per game.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points1327632
FP Average8.35.83.5
Regular Season GP16139

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

He was the #26 ranked fantasy RB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 8.1 FP per game (#38 ranked based on average). He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is stronger in certain categories which are bolded below.

2017-2018FPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (29 Games)200342129483620612
RB Rank#38#17#25#26#52#71#48#57
Average Stats6.911.844.60.281.27.10.030.1
RB Rank (Averages)#52#31#39#40#82#100#80#55
2018 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (16 Games)1302348715209211
RB Rank#26#9#19#24#47#71#26#33
Average Stats8.114.654.40.311.25.80.060.1
RB Rank (Averages)#38#16#28#33#65#93#53#33
2017 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (13 Games)7010842331611401
RB Rank#49#41#42#31#58#63#132#26
Average Stats5.48.332.50.231.28.800.1
RB Rank (Averages)#61#47#47#37#71#74#1#41

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 8.9 points and on DraftKings it was 9.7 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 3 and on FanDuel it was 3 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 20.6 and 18 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All8.9 ($5.8K)5 G, 7 B9.7 ($3.7K)5 G, 8 B
12/30 ATL7.3--7.8--
12/23 @DAL7.1 ($5.6K)--8.6 ($3.6K)--
12/16 @BAL15.9 ($5.5K)+716.9 ($3.4K)+7.2
12/9 NO4.9 ($5.8K)-45.4 ($3.6K)-4.3
12/2 CAR8.5 ($5.8K)--8.5 ($3.7K)--
11/25 SF13.3 ($5.8K)+4.414.3 ($3.9K)+4.6
11/18 @NYG18 ($5.4K)+9.122 ($3.6K)+12.3
11/11 WAS7.1 ($5.4K)--7.6 ($3.5K)-2.1
11/4 @CAR5 ($5.8K)-3.96 ($3.6K)-3.7
10/28 @CIN14.5 ($5.8K)+5.614.5 ($3.6K)+4.8
10/21 CLE3 ($6.1K)-5.93 ($3.8K)-6.7
10/14 @ATL18.6 ($5.6K)+9.720.6 ($3.5K)+10.9
9/30 @CHI3.5 ($6K)-5.44 ($3.8K)-5.7
9/24 PIT3.3 ($6.2K)-5.63.3 ($4K)-6.4
9/16 PHI3.4 ($6.2K)-5.53.9 ($4K)-5.8
9/9 @NO6.9 ($5.6K)-26.9 ($4.1K)-2.8