Dalvin Cook is Projected to Have a Better Fantasy Season in 2019

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND POSITIVE OUTLOOK FOR 2019

Dalvin Cook had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He was the #134 ranked fantasy player this season and the #31 RB. His value would have been slightly higher if he had played more games. Based on average fantasy points he was the #25 RB. He trended up as the season went on. In his first 3 games he averaged 6.2 FPs. He improved to 8.5 in the next 4 games. In his final stretch of games he improved to 14.8 per game. Given his youth, he should be able to continue showing improvement next season. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.71 which is close to the league ratio. Our projected ceiling for Cook when he 'goes off' is 28 fantasy points (his average is 10.2FPs). Dalvin Cook (2019 Season Projection: 209 Rush, 967 Yards, 6.5 TDs, 59 Rec, 453 Yards, 1.9 TDs) is projected to improve in the upcoming season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #10 player at his position.

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

As a young player, his dropoff in fantasy production is disappointing. His average fantasy points decreased by 26% this season.

SEASON TREND20182017
Fantasy Points11255
FP Average10.213.8
Regular Season GP114

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Dalvin Cook only saw the field in 11 games in 2018. But based on his per game average, he would have been the #24 RB and is therefore someone to consider if there are no lingering concerns. He is stronger in certain categories which are bolded below.

2017-2018FPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (15 Games)16620796945139523
RB Rank#48#44#41#52#34#36#26#82
Average Stats11.113.864.60.273.426.30.130.2
RB Rank (Averages)#15#19#12#42#16#19#27#94
2018 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (11 Games)11213361524030522
RB Rank#31#34#30#53#20#21#17#59
Average Stats10.212.155.90.183.627.70.180.2
RB Rank (Averages)#24#24#25#59#16#17#21#67
2017 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (4 Games)54743542119001
RB Rank#62#53#48#42#64#68#132#26
Average Stats13.618.588.50.52.822.500.2
RB Rank (Averages)#9#5#2#8#25#23#1#67

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 12.4 points and on DraftKings it was 14.5 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 2 and on FanDuel it was 0.5 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 19.3 and on FanDuel it was 16.8 FPs. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All12.4 ($6.5K)3 G, 2 B14.5 ($6K)3 G, 2 B
12/30 CHI8--10--
12/23 @DET12.3 ($7.1K)--13.8 ($6.9K)--
12/16 MIA28.8 ($6.2K)+16.432.3 ($6.5K)+17.8
12/10 @SEA16.8 ($6.2K)+4.419.3 ($5.8K)+4.8
12/2 @NE14.6 ($6.2K)--18.6 ($6.2K)+4.1
11/25 GB15.1 ($6.3K)+2.716.6 ($5.4K)--
11/18 @CHI0.5 ($6.3K)-11.92 ($5.6K)-12.5
11/4 DET12.9 ($6.3K)--14.9 ($5.3K)--
9/27 @LAR2 ($6.5K)-10.42 ($5.9K)-12.5
9/16 @GB10.5 ($6.5K)--12 ($6.5K)--
9/9 SF10.5 ($7.3K)--13.5 ($6.2K)--