Getting Older is Taking Its Toll on Lance Kendricks

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

He was the #847 ranked fantasy player this season and the #57 TE. His TE ranking drops to #87 when basing it on average fantasy points. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 5 games he averaged 2.8 fantasy points which was higher than his start (0.6 FP) and his ending average (1.5 FP). His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. He averaged 1.7 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 7 fantasy points. It is too soon to provide a valid projection for the upcoming season.

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DOWNWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

It looks like getting older is hurting fantasy production. His three season trend shows a 58% decline in fantasy points per game.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points243161
FP Average1.72.44
Regular Season GP141315

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Lance Kendricks played in 14 games in 2018. He was the #55 ranked fantasy TE based on total fantasy points. He averaged 1.6 FP per game (#80 ranked based on average). He is trending down based on lower per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively stronger (stats bolded below) than weaker in more categories.

2017-2018FPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (27 Games)4937373261000
TE Rank#51#43#49#54#39#138#138#1
Average Stats1.81.413.80.072.3000
TE Rank (Averages)#86#73#81#82#64#1#1#1
2018 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (14 Games)2319170126000
TE Rank#55#46#51#45#46#124#124#1
Average Stats1.61.412.10.071.9000
TE Rank (Averages)#80#66#84#72#69#1#1#1
2017 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (13 Games)2618203135000
TE Rank#45#39#40#41#34#99#99#1
Average Stats21.415.60.082.7000
TE Rank (Averages)#55#51#51#59#38#1#1#1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 3.4 FD points and 4.4 DK points per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 1.4 and on FanDuel it was 0.9 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 6.7 and 4.7 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All3.4 ($4.3K)3 G, 4 B4.4 ($2.5K)3 G, 4 B
12/23 @NYJ3.6 ($4.1K)--4.6 ($2.5K)--
12/16 @CHI4.7 ($4.1K)+1.36.7 ($2.5K)+2.3
11/25 @MIN2.4 ($4.3K)-13.4 ($2.6K)-1
11/15 @SEA2.2 ($4.3K)-1.23.2 ($2.5K)-1.2
11/11 MIA3.4 ($4.3K)--4.4 ($2.5K)--
10/15 SF4.7 ($4.3K)+1.35.7 ($2.5K)+1.3
10/7 @DET7.8 ($4.3K)+4.48.8 ($2.5K)+4.4
9/30 BUF1 ($4.3K)-2.41.5 ($2.5K)-2.9
9/16 MIN0.9 ($4.3K)-2.51.4 ($2.5K)-3
9/9 CHI1.8--2.3--