Wendell Smallwood: A Young Player on the Rise

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Wendell Smallwood had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He was the #218 ranked fantasy player this season and the #42 RB. Even though he missed a few games he played enough so that his overall fantasy rank was better than what it was based on average fantasy points (#56 RB). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 6 games he averaged 6.6 fantasy points which was higher than his start (5.5 FP) and his ending average (5.9 FP). He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. Our projected ceiling for Smallwood when he 'goes off' is 18 fantasy points (his average is 6.1FPs). It is too soon to provide a valid projection for the upcoming season.

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

As a young player he has improved year-to-year. His three season trend show an increase of 69% in fantasy points per game.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points913843
FP Average6.14.73.6
Regular Season GP15812

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Wendell Smallwood played in 15 games in 2018. He was the #42 ranked fantasy RB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 6 FP per game (#55 ranked based on average). He is relatively stronger (stats bolded below) than weaker in more categories.

2017-2018FPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (23 Games)12313453844133321
RB Rank#61#62#64#52#45#47#26#29
Average Stats5.45.823.40.171.814.50.090
RB Rank (Averages)#73#74#78#69#54#55#41#43
2018 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (15 Games)898736432823021
RB Rank#42#53#53#38#32#31#17#33
Average Stats65.824.30.21.915.30.130.1
RB Rank (Averages)#55#69#70#56#46#47#27#40
2017 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (8 Games)344717411310300
RB Rank#77#70#72#59#63#64#132#1
Average Stats4.25.921.80.121.612.900
RB Rank (Averages)#69#62#65#61#57#56#1#1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 7.8 points and on DraftKings it was 8.8 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was -0.4 and on FanDuel it was -0.4 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 18.1 and 16.6 on FanDuel. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All7.8 ($5.1K)4 G, 7 B8.8 ($3.4K)4 G, 7 B
12/30 @WAS9.7--11.7--
12/23 HOU4.7 ($4.7K)-3.16.7 ($3K)-2.1
12/16 @LAR18.7 ($4.7K)+10.919.7 ($3K)+10.9
12/9 @DAL0.3 ($4.7K)-7.50.3 ($3K)-8.5
11/18 @NO-0.4 ($5.5K)-8.2-0.4 ($3.6K)-9.2
11/11 DAL4.9 ($5.8K)-2.96.4 ($3.4K)-2.4
10/28 @JAC13.6 ($5.8K)+5.814.6 ($4.1K)+5.8
10/21 CAR4.7 ($5.8K)-3.15.7 ($4.1K)-3.1
10/11 @NYG5.6 ($5.1K)-2.26.1 ($4.1K)-2.7
10/7 MIN16.6 ($5.1K)+8.818.1 ($3.5K)+9.3
9/30 @TEN6.9 ($5.5K)--8.4 ($3.6K)--
9/23 IND16.6 ($4.5K)+8.818.1 ($3K)+9.3
9/16 @TB1.5 ($4.5K)-6.32 ($3K)-6.8