Cameron Brate is Only 27 But is Already on a Downward Career Trend

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Cameron Brate had a decent season as a solid fantasy starter. He was the number #18 ranked TE and the #387 ranked player overall. Even though he missed a few games he played enough so that his overall fantasy rank was better than what it was based on average fantasy points (#26 TE). His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 4 games he averaged 6.4 FPs and that declined to 4.5 in his final 5 games. His fantasy production is more volatile that most players based on having a relatively high standard deviation. When he is good, he is really good but when he is off, he is really off. He averaged 4.3 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 13 fantasy points. Cameron Brate (2019 Season Projection: 44 Rec, 425 Yards, 5.9 TDs) is projected to take a slight step downward in the upcoming fantasy season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #20 player at his position.

CAMERON BRATEFPPPRTARRECYDTDRUSHYD
2019 Projection7712265.644.44255.90.0
-- Per Game (16 Proj)4.87.64.12.7826.60.370.00
Week 1 vs SF5.07.64.02.60250.430.00
Week 2 @CAR5.07.74.12.70270.380.00
2018 Season6393493028960
-- Per Game (15 GP)4.26.23.32.0019.30.400.00
REST OF SEASON TE RANKPROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#19 Trey Burton (73% OWN)78 FP, 4.86 per game93 FP, 16 gp, 5.8 per game (#12)
#20 Cameron Brate (79% OWN)77 FP, 4.83 per game63 FP, 15 gp, 4.2 per game (#23)
#21 Noah Fant76 FP, 4.72 per game63 FP, 15 gp, 4.2 per game (#23)
#22 Dallas Goedert (10% OWN)75 FP, 4.67 per game57 FP, 15 gp, 3.8 per game (#31)
#23 Jack Doyle (18% OWN)73 FP, 4.56 per game34 FP, 6 gp, 5.8 per game (#14)

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DOWNWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

As a relatively young player it is disappointing to see a downward trend. His three season trend shows a 45% decline in fantasy points per game.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points6497116
FP Average4.36.17.8
Regular Season GP151615

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Cameron Brate played in 15 games in 2018. He was the #18 ranked fantasy TE based on total fantasy points. He averaged 4.2 FP per game (#24 ranked based on average). He is trending down based on lower per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

2017-2018FPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (31 Games)1587888012126001
TE Rank#12#15#16#4#13#138#138#59
Average Stats5.12.528.40.394.1000
TE Rank (Averages)#19#30#30#8#25#1#1#60
2018 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (15 Games)6330289649001
TE Rank#18#25#31#4#20#124#124#46
Average Stats4.2219.30.43.3000.1
TE Rank (Averages)#24#35#47#10#33#1#1#49
2017 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (16 Games)9548591677000
TE Rank#8#16#9#7#13#99#99#1
Average Stats5.9336.90.384.8000
TE Rank (Averages)#9#19#11#11#18#1#1#1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 5.6 FD points and 6.7 DK points per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 1.9 and on FanDuel it was 1.4 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 12.4 and on FanDuel it was 10.9 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All5.6 ($4.7K)5 G, 7 B6.7 ($3.2K)5 G, 7 B
12/30 ATL4.9--5.9--
12/23 @DAL1.8 ($5.2K)-3.82.8 ($3.9K)-3.9
12/16 @BAL1.4 ($5.4K)-4.21.9 ($4K)-4.8
12/9 NO14.2 ($5.1K)+8.615.2 ($3.5K)+8.5
12/2 CAR5.1 ($4.9K)--6.6 ($3.7K)--
11/25 SF10.1 ($4.4K)+4.511.6 ($3.6K)+4.9
11/18 @NYG2.6 ($4.4K)-33.6 ($2.6K)-3.1
11/11 WAS1.9 ($4.4K)-3.72.4 ($2.6K)-4.3
11/4 @CAR3 ($4.4K)-2.64.5 ($2.6K)-2.2
10/28 @CIN1.8 ($4.7K)-3.82.3 ($2.7K)-4.4
10/21 CLE1.8 ($4.7K)-3.83.3 ($3.1K)-3.4
10/14 @ATL8 ($4.5K)+2.48.5 ($3.7K)+1.8
9/30 @CHI10.4 ($4.5K)+4.811.9 ($2.6K)+5.2
9/24 PIT10.9 ($4.7K)+5.312.4 ($2.8K)+5.7