Kerryon Johnson is a Top 10 Fantasy Football Breakout Player

SCOUT ANALYST TAKE

Johnson ran for 641 yards on 118 attempts (5.4 AVG) last season as a Rookie. Johnson missed the last 6 weeks of the season due to injury, but he looked like the RB that the Lions have been searching for when he was healthy. Johnson eclipsed 100 yards twice last season and his 5.4 yards per carry was good for second in the NFL. The Lions' 59.9 run blocking grade was tops in their division, and their O-line should be just as good or better in 2019. Johnson is projected to run for 907 yards and 7 TDs on 197 attempts this upcoming season. The 4.6 yards per carry is a bit of a drop from a season ago but not surprising given the increase in carries. Johnson should be close to 1,000 yards this season if he remains healthy. I expect big things from Johnson this season.

DRAFT ADVICE AND POSITION RANK

Draft Kerryon Johnson as a weekly fantasy starter in 2019. His 185 projected fantasy points puts him at #11 behind David Johnson and ahead of Dalvin Cook. He has averaged 10.74 fantasy points in his past 10 games, which is slightly less than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 11.6 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#13) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly more valuable in PPR leagues where he is the #9 ranked running back. He is underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 94%, he is the #25 most highly owned running back. Kerryon Johnson is expected to improve on last season's #32 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RB RANKPROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#9 Todd Gurley (99% OWN)190 FP, 11.8 per game313 FP, 14 gp, 22.4 per game (#1)
#10 David Johnson (99% OWN)186 FP, 11.6 per game197 FP, 16 gp, 12.3 per game (#14)
#11 Kerryon Johnson (94% OWN)185 FP, 11.6 per game107 FP, 10 gp, 10.7 per game (#19)
#12 Dalvin Cook (99% OWN)185 FP, 11.6 per game112 FP, 11 gp, 10.2 per game (#23)
#13 Chris Carson (99% OWN)183 FP, 11.4 per game181 FP, 14 gp, 13 per game (#11)

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

KERRYON JOHNSONFPPPRRUSHYDTDRECRECYD
2019 Projection18524120810276.955.6360
-- Per Game (16 Proj)11.615.113.064.20.433.522.5
Week 1 @ARI12.716.413.5720.473.722
Week 2 vs LAC11.114.612.8620.393.522
2018 Season107139118641332213
-- Per Game (10 GP)10.713.911.864.10.303.221.3