O.J. Howard is a Top 10 Fantasy Football Breakout Player

SCOUT ANALYST TAKE

O.J. Howard has showed glimpses of why he was the 19th overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft, but this is the year that he puts it all together. In 10 games last season, Howard had 34 catches for 565 yards and 5TDs. SportsLine projects a big year from Howard this season and have him with 63 catches for 930 yards and 7TDs. Howard's projected totals are higher than those of George Kittle, Jared Cook, and Evan Engram. Howard was on track for over 900 yards last season before going down with a foot injury, so those projections make sense. New HC Bruce Arians' offense hasn't been known for TE usage, but the 6'6" Howard has the speed to play some receiver and lineup in different spots. WRs DeSean Jackson and Adam Humphries are gone from a season ago which should lead to Howards and another possible breakout player, Chris Godwin, getting more targets, and the Bucs should have a pass-heavy offense with no proven running backs on their roster. If healthy, I think Howard could be the third best TE this season behind Ertz and Kelce

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect O.J. Howard to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 134 projected fantasy points puts him at #4 behind George Kittle and ahead of Jared Cook. He has averaged 8.65 fantasy points in his past 10 games, which is slightly more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 8.4 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 93%, he is the #6 most highly owned tight end. O.J. Howard is expected to improve on last season's #10 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON TE RANKPROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#2 Zach Ertz (100% OWN)152 FP, 9.5 per game164 FP, 16 gp, 10.3 per game (#3)
#3 George Kittle (100% OWN)149 FP, 9.3 per game171 FP, 16 gp, 10.7 per game (#2)
#4 O.J. Howard (93% OWN)134 FP, 8.4 per game86 FP, 10 gp, 8.6 per game (#5)
#5 Jared Cook (97% OWN)124 FP, 7.7 per game126 FP, 16 gp, 7.8 per game (#6)
#6 Evan Engram (96% OWN)123 FP, 7.7 per game81 FP, 11 gp, 7.4 per game (#7)

O.J. HOWARD WEEK 1 AND 2 FANTASY OUTLOOK

O.J. Howard is projected for 8.5 fantasy points which is good enough to be the #5 ranked tight end and a must start for most owners. This is a typical week for him with a FP projection that is the same as his projected per game average over the rest of the season. He is ranked above Evan Engram but behind Jared Cook. Week 2 is projected to be slightly better based on projected rank (#4). He is projected for 8.8 fantasy points.

WEEK 1 TE RANKPROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#3 Travis Kelce (100% OWN)9.8 FP (99% ST)11.2 FP
#4 Jared Cook (97% OWN)8.6 FP (85% ST)7.7 FP
#5 O.J. Howard (93% OWN)8.5 FP (82% ST)8.4 FP
#6 Evan Engram (96% OWN)8.4 FP (85% ST)7.7 FP
#7 Mark Andrews (66% OWN)6.4 FP (26% ST)5.5 FP
WEEK 2 TE RANKPROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#2 George Kittle (100% OWN)10.1 FP (97% ST)9.3 FP
#3 Zach Ertz (100% OWN)9.3 FP (98% ST)9.5 FP
#4 O.J. Howard (93% OWN)8.8 FP (82% ST)8.4 FP
#5 Evan Engram (96% OWN)8.2 FP (85% ST)7.7 FP
#6 Jared Cook (97% OWN)7.4 FP (85% ST)7.7 FP

O.J. HOWARD IS A BETTER VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $6.5K THAN ON DRAFTKINGS AT $5K

He is a better value on FanDuel than on DraftKings based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 10.3 FD points and is worth +$722 more than $6.5K on FD. On DK he is projected for 12.8 points and is worth -$129 less than $5K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL WEEK (TE) 2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#4 Evan Engram11 FD Points$6400
#5 Jared Cook10.8 FD Points$6000
#6 O.J. Howard10.3 FD Points$6500
#7 Hunter Henry8.5 FD Points$6100
#8 Mark Andrews7.8 FD Points$5400
DRAFTKINGS WEEK (TE) 2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#3 Travis Kelce16.2 DK Points$7100
#4 Evan Engram14.4 DK Points$4800
#5 O.J. Howard12.8 DK Points$5000
#6 Hunter Henry11 DK Points$3900
#7 Jordan Reed10.3 DK Points$3600

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

O.J. HOWARDFPPPRTARRECYDTDRUSHYD
2019 Projection13419683.262.19097.20.0
-- Per Game (16 Proj)8.412.25.23.956.80.450.00
Week 1 vs SF8.512.25.13.7530.530.00
Week 2 @CAR8.812.75.33.9600.480.00
2018 Season86120483456550
-- Per Game (10 GP)8.6124.83.456.50.500.00