Choosing Between Deshaun Watson, Andrew Luck and Russell Wilson on FanDuel in Week 13

DAILY FANTASY VALUE (FANDUEL & DRAFTKINGS)

Based on salary ($7.9K) he is expected to put up around 20 fantasy points, but his latest FanDuel projection is for 21.5 points (a +$426 dollar value). He reached his expected point total of 20.4 FanDuel points 11 times (61%). With a better than expected projection rank there are other quarterbacks you should avoid that are projected for fewer points with the same or higher salary. Andrew Luck (19.8 FP), Matt Ryan (17 FP), Tom Brady (20.4 FP), and Aaron Rodgers (20.7 FP) are all worse options. He is projected for 23 DraftKings points and at $6.1K he is expected to put up 22.8 points. This difference translates to a +$54 DraftKings value. He reached his expected point total of 22.8 DraftKings points 10 times (56%). Even though his projected rank is better than his salary based rank there are quarterbacks projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Ben Roethlisberger (24.1 FP), for example, is a better option.

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WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

This is not projected to be an above average week for Deshaun Watson who is projected to be the #8 quarterback vs a season projection of #7. Owners will get what they expect from him where he is the #7 quarterback based on ownership. Most fantasy players have roughly 30% of their weekly projections deviate significantly from their season average, but he is projected to be more volatile than most. Expect a consistent performance with an equal number of good (1) and bad weeks.

WEEKFPRANKPROJECTION (Bold = Good, Italic = Bad)
WK 13 to 16 Totals124#7104 COMP, 161 PASS, 1388 Yd, 9.8 Td, 7.2 Int, 29 RushYd, 1.53 Td
WK 13 CLE24.0#819.5 COMP, 31 PASS, 255 Yd, 2 Td, 1.51 Int, 5.6 RushYd, 0.32 Td
WK 14 IND28.3#323 COMP, 31 PASS, 299 Yd, 2.3 Td, 1.08 Int, 5.5 RushYd, 0.35 Td
WK 15 @NYJ24.5#821 COMP, 33 PASS, 290 Yd, 1.86 Td, 1.54 Int, 5.9 RushYd, 0.3 Td
WK 16 @PHI21.9#1521 COMP, 33 PASS, 273 Yd, 1.57 Td, 1.57 Int, 6.1 RushYd, 0.24 Td

EXPERT RANKINGS (WEEK)

The Scout projections have a lower ranking than the market, and the 3 experts rank him better than the market. The expert consensus rank is #10. The experts rank him behind Ben Roethlisberger and ahead of Andrew Luck. The projections agree that Watson should be ranked behind Roethlisberger.

RANKPROJECTIONDAVE RICHARDJAMEY EISENBERGHEATH CUMMINGS
Higher
Market #7------------------------------------------------------------
Lower#8#12#10#9

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REST OF SEASON FANTASY VALUE

He is projected to be the #7 quarterback which is exactly what the market sets his value at. He is owned in 100 percent of CBS leagues and are projected to average 24.7 FPs. Even though his projected rank matches his market based rank there are quarterbacks projected for more points with the same or lower market expectation. Tom Brady (124 FP), for example, is a better option owners may want to target.

KEY STATSPASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDFP
Projected Average per Game 277.62.01.433.624.7
Actual Avg Since Last Season250.32.20.934.125.6

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PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

With 11 games played this season Watson is the #11 ranked QB. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

2017-2018FPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (18 Games)462346/537, 64.4%450639176144
QB Rank#25#23#31#24#30#9#13
Average Stats25.619.2/29.8, 64.4%2502.20.934.10.2
QB Rank (Averages)#3#23#16#4#43#4#13
2018 & SeasonFPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (11 Games)257220/333, 66.1%28072093452
QB Rank#11#22#14#12#22#3#7
Average Stats23.320/30.3, 66.1%2551.80.831.40.2
QB Rank (Averages)#13#22#18#16#20#5#13
2017 SeasonFPCOMP%PASSYDPASSTDPASSINTRUSHYDRUSHTD
Stats (7 Games)205126/204, 61.8%16991982692
QB Rank#25#28#31#18#22#11#11
Average Stats29.318/29.1, 61.8%2432.71.138.40.3
QB Rank (Averages)#1#28#16#1#39#2#8