Derrick Henry is Projected to Be the #18 RB the Rest of the 2019 Season...Behind Aaron Jones and Ahead of David Montgomery

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Derrick Henry to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 165 projected fantasy points puts him at #18 behind Aaron Jones and ahead of David Montgomery. He has averaged 11.65 fantasy points in his past 16 games, which is more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 10.3 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#19) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is less valuable in PPR leagues where he is the #28 ranked running back. At 99% ownership, he is also the #18 most highly owned running back. Derrick Henry is expected to come up short of last season's #13 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RB RANKPROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#16 Devonta Freeman (95% OWN)169 FP, 10.6 per game1.98 FP
#17 Aaron Jones (99% OWN)167 FP, 10.4 per game146 FP, 12 gp, 12.1 per game (#15)
#18 Derrick Henry (99% OWN)165 FP, 10.3 per game186 FP, 16 gp, 11.6 per game (#17)
#19 David Montgomery (93% OWN)164 FP, 10.2 per game186 FP, 16 gp, 11.6 per game (#17)
#20 Sony Michel (99% OWN)160 FP, 10 per game132 FP, 13 gp, 10.2 per game (#24)

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

DERRICK HENRY WEEK 1 AND 2 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Derrick Henry is projected for 9.9 fantasy points which is good enough to be the #20 ranked running back and a starter for most owners. This is projected to be a slightly below average week with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average the rest of the season. He is ranked above Tevin Coleman but behind Damien Williams. Week 2 is projected to be slightly better based on projected rank (#17). He is projected for 10.5 fantasy points.

WEEK 1 RB RANKPROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#18 Phillip Lindsay (99% OWN)10.5 FP (71% ST)9.2 FP
#19 Damien Williams (98% OWN)10.5 FP (91% ST)9.8 FP
#20 Derrick Henry (99% OWN)9.9 FP (66% ST)10.3 FP
#21 Tevin Coleman (99% OWN)9.8 FP (55% ST)9.3 FP
#22 Sony Michel (99% OWN)9.8 FP (70% ST)10 FP
WEEK 2 RB RANKPROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#15 Devonta Freeman (95% OWN)10.6 FP (83% ST)10.6 FP
#16 Chris Carson (100% OWN)10.6 FP (92% ST)11.7 FP
#17 Derrick Henry (99% OWN)10.5 FP (66% ST)10.3 FP
#18 David Johnson (100% OWN)10.5 FP (98% ST)11.9 FP
#19 Leonard Fournette (100% OWN)10.5 FP (95% ST)11.8 FP

DERRICK HENRY IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $6.8K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $5.9K

He is projected for 10.3 FanDuel points and 11.6 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$645 short of $6.8K on FanDuel and -$804 short of $5.9K on DraftKings. There should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL WEEK (RB) 2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#22 Tony Pollard10.5 FD Points$5200
#23 Tevin Coleman10.3 FD Points$6300
#24 Derrick Henry10.3 FD Points$6800
#25 Marlon Mack10.3 FD Points$6900
#26 James White10.2 FD Points$6300
DRAFTKINGS WEEK (RB) 2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#17 Marlon Mack11.9 DK Points$5600
#18 Duke Johnson11.9 DK Points$3500
#19 Derrick Henry11.6 DK Points$5900
#20 Miles Sanders11.6 DK Points$3900
#21 Tevin Coleman11.5 DK Points$5000

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

DERRICK HENRYFPPPRRUSHYDTDRECRECYD
2019 Projection16517921410338.614.1111
-- Per Game (16 Proj)10.311.213.464.60.540.886.9
Week 1 @CLE9.910.713.3660.460.856.6
Week 2 vs IND10.511.513.1650.570.926.8
2018 Season1862012151059121599
-- Per Game (16 GP)11.612.613.466.20.750.946.2