Detroit Lions Finish the Season 6-10

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 6.5 wins. Their 6 actual wins was below expectation. They won 37.5% on the road which was as expected (39.7%). They won 3 at home and were expected to win 3.3. Below is a recap of all 16 regular games. Anyone who backed the Lions in all of their games on the money line would have earned a +270 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have delivered a +130 profit risking 110 to win 100 (9-7 ATS). The Lions have turned an ATS profit on the road but have lost at home.

They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game and a below average offensive TD per play rate. They are a below average scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games20.2 - 22.56-10, +2709-7, +1306-10 62.5% Under
On Road21.9 - 19.03-5, -1036-2, +3804-4 50% Over
At Home18.6 - 26.03-5, +53-5, -2502-6 75% Under
12/30 @GB31-0Win +265Covered +7.5Under 44.5
12/23 MIN9-27Loss -100ATS Loss +6.5Under 42.5
12/16 @BUF13-14Loss -100Covered +2.5Under 39.5
12/9 @ARI17-3Win +71Covered -2.5Under 40
12/2 LAR16-30Loss -100ATS Loss +10Under 54
11/22 CHI16-23Loss -100ATS Loss +3Under 43
11/18 CAR20-19Win +175Covered +4Under 48
11/11 @CHI22-34Loss -100ATS Loss +7Over 44.5
11/4 @MIN9-24Loss -100ATS Loss +4.5Under 47
10/28 SEA14-28Loss -100ATS Loss -3Under 48
10/21 @MIA32-21Win +61Covered -3Over 47
10/7 GB31-23Win +80Covered -1Over 50
9/30 @DAL24-26Loss -100Covered +2.5Over 44
9/23 NE26-10Win +250Covered +6.5Under 55
9/16 @SF27-30Loss -100Covered +6Over 48.5
9/10 NYJ17-48Loss -100ATS Loss -7Over 44

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 15 Games19.5 (#26)3.2% (#27)5.6 (#24)238 (#21)6.6 (#28)102 (#23)4.2 (#25)1.3 (#15)
On the Road20.6 (#20)3.6% (#20)6.0 (#21)236 (#20)7.0 (#20)116 (#14)4.6 (#12)0.9 (#2)
At Home18.6 (#28)2.8% (#28)5.3 (#29)240 (#22)6.3 (#30)90 (#31)3.8 (#31)1.6 (#24)
Last 4 Games13.8 (#30)1.7% (#31)4.8 (#30)179 (#27)5.5 (#30)104 (#21)3.9 (#23)0.8 (#5)

TEAM DEFENSE:

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 15 Games24.0 (#19)4.7% (#26)6.4 (#12)249 (#12)8.2 (#32)114 (#15)4.4 (#16)0.9 (#31)
Road (7 Games)21.7 (#9)4.4% (#19)6.5 (#8)238 (#7)8.2 (#27)120 (#20)4.5 (#22)0.4 (#31)
Home Games26.0 (#26)5.0% (#29)6.4 (#16)260 (#21)8.2 (#30)109 (#16)4.3 (#14)1.2 (#20)
Last 4 Games18.5 (#10)3.3% (#13)5.5 (#12)226 (#13)7.1 (#19)107 (#12)3.7 (#6)0.8 (#24)

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Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games20.2 - 22.56-10, +2709-7, +1306-10 62.5% Under
On Road21.9 - 19.03-5, -1036-2, +3804-4 50% Over
At Home18.6 - 26.03-5, +53-5, -2502-6 75% Under
12/30 @GB31-0Win +265Covered +7.5Under 44.5
12/23 MIN9-27Loss -100ATS Loss +6.5Under 42.5
12/16 @BUF13-14Loss -100Covered +2.5Under 39.5
12/9 @ARI17-3Win +71Covered -2.5Under 40
12/2 LAR16-30Loss -100ATS Loss +10Under 54
11/22 CHI16-23Loss -100ATS Loss +3Under 43
11/18 CAR20-19Win +175Covered +4Under 48
11/11 @CHI22-34Loss -100ATS Loss +7Over 44.5
11/4 @MIN9-24Loss -100ATS Loss +4.5Under 47
10/28 SEA14-28Loss -100ATS Loss -3Under 48
10/21 @MIA32-21Win +61Covered -3Over 47
10/7 GB31-23Win +80Covered -1Over 50
9/30 @DAL24-26Loss -100Covered +2.5Over 44
9/23 NE26-10Win +250Covered +6.5Under 55
9/16 @SF27-30Loss -100Covered +6Over 48.5
9/10 NYJ17-48Loss -100ATS Loss -7Over 44