DraftKings Advice: Take Alvin Kamara at $6.5K and Damien Williams Over Todd Gurley at $7.5K

Alvin Kamara

He is projected for 22.2 DraftKings points and at $6.5K he is expected to put up 14.5 points. This difference translates to a +$3452 DraftKings value. He reached his expected point total of 14.5 DraftKings points 26 times (74%). He is 15-20 reaching his projected point total of 22.2. With a better than expected projection rank there are other running backs you should avoid that are projected for fewer points with the same or higher salary. Todd Gurley (21.2 FP), for example, is a worse option.

At $8.1K you would expect 11.7 FanDuel points and he is projected for 19 points. This difference translates to a +$5054 FanDuel value. He hit this expected level of performance in 74% of games. He is 15-20 reaching his projected point total of 19. With a better than expected projection rank there are other running backs you should avoid that are projected for fewer points with the same or higher salary. Todd Gurley (18.5 FP), for example, is a worse option.

Damien Williams and Jared Goff are also good values on both FanDuel and DraftKings on 1/17.

Todd Gurley

The emergence of CJ Anderson has resulted in Gurley going from being a surefire 20 carry and 90%+ of goal line runs RB into a 15 carry 60/40 goal line RB. He is still worth more than his salary ($7.5K on DraftKings) but also have a projected rank (#3 running back) that is worse than their salary based rank (#1). He is 30-20 reaching their expected salary based point total (60%). He is 21-29 reaching his projected point total of 21.2. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other running backs that are projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Damien Williams (21.8 FP) and Alvin Kamara (22.2 FP) are better options.

Even though his projected rank is worse than his FanDuel salary based rank he is actually worth +$4285 more than their $8.5K price. He reached his expected point total of 12.3 FanDuel points 33 times (66%). He is 22-28 reaching his projected point total of 18.5. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other running backs that are projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Damien Williams (18.8 FP) and Alvin Kamara (19 FP) are better options.

Tom Brady and C.J. Anderson are also bad values on both FanDuel and DraftKings.

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This information was last updated at 1/17/2019 9:48:54 AM. SportsLine has a Daily Fantasy Cheat Sheet and Optimal Lineups based on the latest computer projections. It also features lineups from DFS Millionaire, Mike McClure, visit SportsLine.com for more.

TODAY'S GAMES (AVG O/U 56) AND PROJECTED FANTASY LEADERS

LOS ANGELES RAMS VS NEW ORLEANS SAINTS O/U 56.5

  • Drew Brees (QB) 21.1 FD $8.8K, 23 DK $5.9K
  • Michael Thomas (WR) 17.7 FD $8.8K, 23.8 DK $8.2K
  • Alvin Kamara (RB) 19 FD $8.1K, 22.2 DK $6.5K
  • Todd Gurley (RB) 18.5 FD $8.5K, 21.2 DK $7.5K
  • Jared Goff (QB) 18.5 FD $8K, 20.5 DK $5.4K

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS VS KANSAS CITY CHIEFS O/U 55.5

  • Pat Mahomes (QB) 22.5 FD $9K, 24.4 DK $6.6K
  • Damien Williams (RB) 18.8 FD $7.2K, 21.8 DK $6.4K
  • Tom Brady (QB) 17.4 FD $8.4K, 19.1 DK $5.8K
  • Tyreek Hill (WR) 16.2 FD $8.4K, 19.6 DK $7.7K
  • Travis Kelce (TE) 14.1 FD $7.4K, 18 DK $7.1K