Ezekiel Elliott is Projected to Be the #4 RB the Rest of the 2019 Season...Behind Christian McCaffrey and Ahead of Joe Mixon

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Ezekiel Elliott to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 241 projected fantasy points puts him at #4 behind Christian McCaffrey and ahead of Joe Mixon. He has averaged 16.68 fantasy points in his past 15 games, which is slightly more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 15 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite running back. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Ezekiel Elliott is expected to slightly improve on last season's #5 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RB RANKPROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#2 Alvin Kamara (100% OWN)249 FP, 15.5 per game273 FP, 15 gp, 18.2 per game (#5)
#3 Christian McCaffrey (100% OWN)248 FP, 15.5 per game280 FP, 16 gp, 17.5 per game (#6)
#4 Ezekiel Elliott (100% OWN)241 FP, 15 per game250 FP, 15 gp, 16.7 per game (#8)
#5 Joe Mixon (100% OWN)208 FP, 13 per game200 FP, 14 gp, 14.3 per game (#9)
#6 James Conner (100% OWN)204 FP, 12.7 per game225 FP, 13 gp, 17.3 per game (#7)

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

EZEKIEL ELLIOTT WEEK 1 AND 2 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Ezekiel Elliott is projected for 7.8 fantasy points which is good enough to be the #37 ranked running back and a starter for most owners. This is projected to be a below average week with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average the rest of the season. He is ranked above Jordan Howard but behind Kenyan Drake. Week 2 will be slightly worse based on projected rank (#39). He is projected for 7.5 fantasy points.

WEEK 1 RB RANKPROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#35 Darrell Henderson (83% OWN)8 FP (6% ST)7.5 FP
#36 Kenyan Drake (98% OWN)7.9 FP (40% ST)9.2 FP
#37 Ezekiel Elliott (100% OWN)7.8 FP (76% ST)15 FP
#38 Jordan Howard (89% OWN)7.8 FP (13% ST)7.1 FP
#39 Latavius Murray (90% OWN)7.7 FP (10% ST)8.5 FP
WEEK 2 RB RANKPROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#37 Derrius Guice (90% OWN)7.7 FP (21% ST)8.4 FP
#38 Jordan Howard (89% OWN)7.6 FP (13% ST)7.1 FP
#39 Ezekiel Elliott (100% OWN)7.5 FP (76% ST)15 FP
#40 Rashaad Penny (85% OWN)7.5 FP (9% ST)8 FP
#41 Dion Lewis (78% OWN)7 FP (10% ST)7 FP

EZEKIEL ELLIOTT IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $9.1K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $9.2K

He is projected for 9.3 FanDuel points and 11.3 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$3540 short of $9.1K on FanDuel and -$4235 short of $9.2K on DraftKings. There should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL WEEK (RB) 2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#32 Kenyan Drake9.5 FD Points$6000
#33 Derrius Guice9.4 FD Points$5900
#34 Ezekiel Elliott9.3 FD Points$9100
#35 Rashaad Penny9.1 FD Points$5900
#36 Devin Singletary9 FD Points$5300
DRAFTKINGS WEEK (RB) 2 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#21 Tevin Coleman11.5 DK Points$5000
#22 Matt Breida11.5 DK Points$4000
#23 Ezekiel Elliott11.3 DK Points$9200
#24 Kenyan Drake11.2 DK Points$4700
#25 Derrius Guice10.9 DK Points$4400

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

EZEKIEL ELLIOTTFPPPRRUSHYDTDRECRECYD
2019 Projection24131028513316.768.7546
-- Per Game (16 Proj)15.019.317.883.20.424.334.1
Week 1 vs NYG7.810.97.4330.203.124
Week 2 @WAS7.510.56.9350.173.024
2018 Season2503273041434677567
-- Per Game (15 GP)16.721.820.395.60.405.137.8