Fantasy Drop Alert: Mike Davis is a Better Fantasy Option Than Sony Michel But Not as Good as Frank Gore the Rest of the Season

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

According to our projection, you can expect Mike Davis to be a bench player or a good option off the waiver wire. His 43 projected fantasy points puts him at #58 behind Frank Gore and ahead of Sony Michel. He has averaged 4.87 fantasy points in his past 18 games, which is less than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 5.3 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#54) is better than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is more valuable in PPR leagues where he is the #55 ranked running back. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 95%, he is the #29 most highly owned running back. Mike Davis is expected to improve on this season-to-date's #63 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RB RANKPROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2019
#56 Joshua Kelley (54% OWN)43 FP, 4.75 per game2.6 FP
#57 Frank Gore (24% OWN)43 FP, 5.3 per game82 FP, 15 gp, 5.5 per game (#55)
#58 Mike Davis (95% OWN)43 FP, 5.3 per game82 FP, 15 gp, 5.5 per game (#55)
#59 Sony Michel (30% OWN)42 FP, 4.66 per game141 FP, 16 gp, 8.8 per game (#32)
#60 Wayne Gallman (46% OWN)40 FP, 5 per game37 FP, 9 gp, 4.1 per game (#66)

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

MIKE DAVIS PROJECTED TO FINISH AHEAD OF JORDAN WILKINS IN WEEK 9

Mike Davis is projected for 5.6 fantasy points which projects to being the #42 ranked running back. This may be a week you want to sit Mike Davis. This is projected to be a slightly better than average week with more fantasy points than he is projected to average the rest of the season. He is ranked above Jordan Wilkins but behind Lamical Perine. Week 10 will not be as good based on projected rank (#53). He is projected for 4.7 fantasy points.

WEEK 9 RB RANKPROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#40 Eno Benjamin (2% OWN)5.9 FP2.05 FP
#41 Lamical Perine (42% OWN)5.8 FP (12% ST)5.9 FP
#42 Mike Davis (95% OWN)5.6 FP (55% ST)5.3 FP
#43 Jordan Wilkins (12% OWN)5.5 FP (1% ST)6 FP
#44 Frank Gore (24% OWN)5.5 FP (3% ST)5.3 FP
WEEK 10 RB RANKPROJECTIONROS FP PROJ AVG
#51 Alexander Mattison (64% OWN)4.7 FP (4% ST)4.89 FP
#52 Wayne Gallman (46% OWN)4.66 FP (24% ST)5 FP
#53 Mike Davis (95% OWN)4.66 FP (55% ST)5.3 FP
#54 Rex Burkhead (31% OWN)4.56 FP (6% ST)5 FP
#55 Boston Scott (86% OWN)4.01 FP (33% ST)4.24 FP

MIKE DAVIS IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $7.8K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $6.7K

He is projected for 6.3 FanDuel points and 7.4 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$4069 short of $7.8K on FanDuel and -$3478 short of $6.7K on DraftKings. There should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANDUEL WEEK (RB) 10 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#41 Lamical Perine6.7 FD Points$5300
#42 Chris Carson6.5 FD Points$7600
#43 Mike Davis6.3 FD Points$7800
#44 Duke Johnson6.3 FD Points$4800
#45 Rex Burkhead6.1 FD Points$5100
DRAFTKINGS WEEK (RB) 10 RANKPROJECTIONSALARY
#32 Duke Johnson7.5 DK Points$4000
#33 Adrian Peterson7.4 DK Points$4000
#34 Mike Davis7.4 DK Points$6700
#35 Alexander Mattison6.2 DK Points$4000
#36 Jordan Wilkins6.2 DK Points$4200

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Also included are actual stats from the current and last season.

MIKE DAVISFPPPRRUSHYDTDRECRECYD
Rest of 202042.755.650.82261.512.982.2
-- Per Game (8 Proj)5.376.428.20.181.6110.3
Week 9 @KC5.67.16.7330.181.509.4
Week 10 vs TB4.76.36.3220.181.609.7
2020 Season8312292358239249
-- Per Game (12 GP)6.910.17.729.80.173.220.8
2019 to 20208613197377245266
-- Per Game (13 GP)6.610.17.529.00.153.520.5