Fantasy NFL: Top 5 Weekly Boom and Bust Players

Our goal with this analysis is to not only tell you who the best players will be, but also tell you who most frequently exceeds their overall rank (boom players) and who comes up short the most frequently (weekly bust). This is a season review of players who, when healthy, delivered boom weeks at a high rate and / or have been big busts that should have been benched. We are defining a 'boom week' as one where a player's position rank is much better than his overall average weekly rank. Mathematically, we are using 50% of his average rank. So a player with an average rank of 30 would need to be ranked Top 15 to be considered a boom week. Conversely, a bust week is one where a player's rank is numerically 25% higher than their normal weekly rank.

DJ Moore had a weekly average wide receiver rank of #30 but he also had the highest rate of finishing significantly better than that. He had 9 weeks out of 15 where he delivered a big performance. At the tight end position, Hunter Henry was the leader in boom rate. Aaron Rodgers, in an average week, is the #15 quarterback but he also has the highest bust rate at the position. In his 16 weeks, 8 were bad busts. Players like Case Keenum and Greg Zuerlein are two of 11 players below who appear in both the boom and bust lists. These are the players who you'll want to carefully manage in terms of when to best start or sit because they rarely deliver an 'average' performance. The table below shows the player with the five highest boom and bust rates. The rank is based on the player's average position rank per week and not their season total fantasy points.

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HIGHEST BOOM% QUARTERBACKSHIGHEST BUST% QUARTERBACKS
Matthew Stafford (#10 QB, 62% 5 of 8 Weeks)Aaron Rodgers (#15 QB, 38% 8 of 16 Weeks)
Drew Brees (#10 QB, 55% 6 of 11 Weeks)Jimmy Garoppolo (#17 QB, 31% 8 of 16 Weeks)
Patrick Mahomes (#10 QB, 50% 7 of 14 Weeks)Mitchell Trubisky (#18 QB, 40% 7 of 15 Weeks)
Deshaun Watson (#11 QB, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Kirk Cousins (#16 QB, 40% 7 of 15 Weeks)
Ryan Fitzpatrick (#15 QB, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Daniel Jones (#15 QB, 31% 6 of 13 Weeks)
Josh Allen (#13 QB, 44% 7 of 16 Weeks)Teddy Bridgewater (#20 QB, 22% 4 of 9 Weeks)
Ryan Tannehill (#11 QB, 42% 5 of 12 Weeks)Carson Wentz (#12 QB, 38% 7 of 16 Weeks)
Matt Ryan (#13 QB, 40% 6 of 15 Weeks)Ryan Fitzpatrick (#15 QB, 47% 6 of 15 Weeks)
Case Keenum (#20 QB, 40% 4 of 10 Weeks)Deshaun Watson (#11 QB, 47% 6 of 15 Weeks)
Kirk Cousins (#16 QB, 40% 6 of 15 Weeks)Case Keenum (#20 QB, 40% 4 of 10 Weeks)
HIGHEST BOOM% RUNNING BACKSHIGHEST BUST% RUNNING BACKS
Saquon Barkley (#18 RB, 54% 7 of 13 Weeks)Benny Snell (#43 RB, 36% 6 of 11 Weeks)
Chris Carson (#18 RB, 53% 8 of 15 Weeks)Leonard Fournette (#21 RB, 33% 8 of 15 Weeks)
Joe Mixon (#21 RB, 50% 8 of 16 Weeks)Austin Ekeler (#19 RB, 44% 8 of 16 Weeks)
Dalvin Cook (#12 RB, 50% 7 of 14 Weeks)Chase Edmonds (#42 RB, 30% 5 of 10 Weeks)
Marlon Mack (#21 RB, 50% 7 of 14 Weeks)Raheem Mostert (#26 RB, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)
David Johnson (#32 RB, 50% 6 of 12 Weeks)Brandon Bolden (#42 RB, 33% 4 of 9 Weeks)
Todd Gurley (#17 RB, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Darrel Williams (#36 RB, 33% 4 of 9 Weeks)
Adrian Peterson (#27 RB, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Rashaad Penny (#35 RB, 33% 4 of 9 Weeks)
Raheem Mostert (#26 RB, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Jordan Howard (#24 RB, 33% 4 of 9 Weeks)
Damien Williams (#27 RB, 45% 5 of 11 Weeks)Latavius Murray (#35 RB, 38% 7 of 16 Weeks)
HIGHEST BOOM% WIDE RECEIVERSHIGHEST BUST% WIDE RECEIVERS
DJ Moore (#30 WR, 60% 9 of 15 Weeks)Steven Sims (#55 WR, 31% 7 of 13 Weeks)
Deebo Samuel (#34 WR, 60% 9 of 15 Weeks)Anthony Miller (#56 WR, 44% 8 of 16 Weeks)
Davante Adams (#26 WR, 58% 7 of 12 Weeks)Jamison Crowder (#43 WR, 44% 8 of 16 Weeks)
DeVante Parker (#28 WR, 56% 9 of 16 Weeks)Breshad Perriman (#50 WR, 43% 7 of 14 Weeks)
Amari Cooper (#32 WR, 56% 9 of 16 Weeks)Miles Boykin (#63 WR, 42% 6 of 12 Weeks)
Tyler Lockett (#32 WR, 56% 9 of 16 Weeks)T.Y. Hilton (#37 WR, 40% 5 of 10 Weeks)
Calvin Ridley (#29 WR, 54% 7 of 13 Weeks)Sterling Shepard (#34 WR, 40% 5 of 10 Weeks)
Dede Westbrook (#47 WR, 53% 8 of 15 Weeks)JuJu Smith-Schuster (#47 WR, 33% 6 of 12 Weeks)
Robby Anderson (#45 WR, 50% 8 of 16 Weeks)Marquez Valdes-Scantling (#63 WR, 27% 7 of 15 Weeks)
Adam Thielen (#42 WR, 50% 5 of 10 Weeks)Hunter Renfrow (#46 WR, 38% 6 of 13 Weeks)
HIGHEST BOOM% TIGHT ENDSHIGHEST BUST% TIGHT ENDS
Hunter Henry (#14 TE, 58% 7 of 12 Weeks)Ryan Griffin (#26 TE, 46% 7 of 13 Weeks)
Foster Moreau (#23 TE, 55% 6 of 11 Weeks)Kyle Rudolph (#24 TE, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)
Austin Hooper (#11 TE, 54% 7 of 13 Weeks)Cameron Brate (#24 TE, 43% 6 of 14 Weeks)
Evan Engram (#14 TE, 50% 4 of 8 Weeks)Jack Doyle (#19 TE, 40% 6 of 15 Weeks)
Jared Cook (#12 TE, 50% 7 of 14 Weeks)Jonnu Smith (#22 TE, 40% 6 of 15 Weeks)
Tyler Higbee (#16 TE, 50% 7 of 14 Weeks)Mike Gesicki (#19 TE, 40% 6 of 15 Weeks)
Dallas Goedert (#18 TE, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Jacob Hollister (#18 TE, 30% 4 of 10 Weeks)
Zach Ertz (#11 TE, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Noah Fant (#23 TE, 38% 6 of 16 Weeks)
Darren Fells (#22 TE, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Darren Waller (#11 TE, 31% 6 of 16 Weeks)
Kyle Rudolph (#24 TE, 47% 7 of 15 Weeks)Foster Moreau (#23 TE, 55% 4 of 11 Weeks)
HIGHEST BOOM% KICKERSHIGHEST BUST% KICKERS
Zane Gonzalez (#11 K, 62% 10 of 16 Weeks)Dustin Hopkins (#17 K, 44% 8 of 16 Weeks)
Younghoe Koo (#10 K, 62% 5 of 8 Weeks)Ty Long (#23 K, 30% 5 of 10 Weeks)
Matt Prater (#12 K, 50% 8 of 16 Weeks)Brett Maher (#14 K, 31% 6 of 13 Weeks)
Greg Zuerlein (#13 K, 50% 8 of 16 Weeks)Dan Bailey (#13 K, 38% 7 of 16 Weeks)
Chris Boswell (#15 K, 50% 8 of 16 Weeks)Sam Ficken (#18 K, 33% 6 of 15 Weeks)
Joey Slye (#14 K, 44% 7 of 16 Weeks)Younghoe Koo (#10 K, 62% 3 of 8 Weeks)
Dustin Hopkins (#17 K, 44% 7 of 16 Weeks)Chris Boswell (#15 K, 50% 6 of 16 Weeks)
Robbie Gould (#12 K, 38% 5 of 13 Weeks)Greg Zuerlein (#13 K, 50% 6 of 16 Weeks)
Josh Lambo (#13 K, 38% 6 of 16 Weeks)Ka'imi Fairbairn (#16 K, 38% 6 of 16 Weeks)
Brandon McManus (#13 K, 38% 6 of 16 Weeks)Jason Myers (#15 K, 38% 6 of 16 Weeks)