Jeff Wilson is Worth More Than $3.8K on DraftKings

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY VALUE (DRAFTKINGS & FANDUEL)

He is one of the very best DraftKings values at running back. He is priced at $3.8K and at this price he is expected to have 10.6 points on DraftKings. With a projection of 14.5 he is worth +$1398 over this price. In his two other games, he did reach his expected point total of 10.6 DraftKings points once. With a better than expected projection rank there are other running backs you should avoid that are projected for fewer points with the same or higher salary. LeGarrette Blount (6.7 FP), Mark Ingram (14.1 FP), LeSean McCoy (13 FP), Ty Montgomery (5.2 FP), and Jordan Howard (11.6 FP) are all worse options. At $5.6K you would expect 12 FanDuel points and he is projected for 12.4 points. This difference translates to a +$187 FanDuel value. In his two other games, he did reach his expected point total of 12 FanDuel points once. Even though his projected rank is better than his salary based rank there are running backs projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Jaylen Samuels (12.7 FP) and Justin Jackson (12.6 FP) are better options.

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WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Jeff Wilson is projected to be the #18 running back the rest of the season, but this week he is projected to be slightly better with a projected rank of #17. He is projected to beat market expectations where he is the #39 running back based on ownership. Most fantasy players have roughly 30% of their weekly projections deviate significantly from their season average, but he is projected to be more stable and consistent than most.

WEEKFPRANKPROJECTION
WK 14 to 16 Totals45.0#1855 Rush, 266 Yd, 1.31 Td, 11.8 Rec, 107 Yd, 0.31 Td, 1.06 Fl
WK 14 DEN11.0#1714.6 Rush, 64 Yd, 0.35 Td, 2.8 Rec, 26 Yd, 0.07 Td, 0.25 Fl
WK 15 SEA11.2#1913.5 Rush, 67 Yd, 0.31 Td, 3.1 Rec, 28 Yd, 0.07 Td, 0.26 Fl
WK 16 CHI11.2#2013.9 Rush, 65 Yd, 0.34 Td, 3.1 Rec, 27 Yd, 0.08 Td, 0.28 Fl

EXPERT RANKINGS (WEEK)

The Scout projections have a higher ranking than the market, and the 3 experts rank him lower than the market. The expert consensus rank is #18. The experts rank him behind Justin Jackson and ahead of Dion Lewis. The projections agree that Wilson should be ranked behind Jackson. He has the same expert consensus ranking in PPR leagues.

RANKPROJECTIONDAVE RICHARDJAMEY EISENBERGHEATH CUMMINGS
Higher#17#23#17#13
Market #31------------------------------------------------------------
Lower
PPR RANKPROJECTIONDAVE RICHARDJAMEY EISENBERGHEATH CUMMINGS
Higher#16#20#14#14
Market #31------------------------------------------------------------
Lower

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REST OF SEASON FANTASY VALUE

Jeff Wilson is one of the most underrated players at running back. Owned in 74% of CBS Fantasy leagues the market ranks him as the #39 running back but his projection based rank is #18 with an average of 11.2 fantasy points per week. With a better than expected projection rank there are other running backs you should avoid considering that are projected for fewer points. Mark Ingram (41 FP), Isaiah Crowell (41 FP), LeSean McCoy (40 FP), Melvin Gordon (38 FP), and Jordan Howard (35 FP) are all worse options. Jeff Wilson is a better option in PPR leagues where he is the #15 projected running back with 11.2 FP per week average.

KEY STATSRUSHRUSHYDRECYDTOUCHDOWNSFP
Projected Average per Game 13.866.426.80.411.2
Actual Avg Since Last Season11.047.040.50.07.7

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PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2018)

Jeff Wilson has only played in 2 games this season. But based on his per game average, he would have been the #35 RB and is therefore someone to consider if there are no lingering concerns.

2018 & SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (2 Games)152294098101
RB Rank#83#79#77#153#67#62#153#1
Average Stats7.7114704.540.500.5
RB Rank (Averages)#35#32#30#1#9#7#1#1
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