Justin Jackson is a Good Week 14 DraftKings Value at $3.8K

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

DAILY FANTASY VALUE (DRAFTKINGS & FANDUEL)

He is one of the very best DraftKings values at running back. He is priced at $3.8K and at this price he is expected to have 10.6 points on DraftKings. With a projection of 13.7 he is worth +$1111 over this price. He reached his expected point total of 10.6 DraftKings points just once (8 unders). Even though his projected rank is better than his salary based rank there are running backs projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Jaylen Samuels (14.1 FP) and Jeff Wilson (14.5 FP) are better options. Based on dollar value, he is the #2 most valuable option at running back on FanDuel. He is priced at $4.5K and at this price he is expected to have 9.6 points on FanDuel. With a projection of 12.6 he is worth +$1406 over this price. He reached his expected point total of 9.6 FanDuel points just once (8 unders). With a better than expected projection rank there are other running backs you should avoid that are projected for fewer points with the same or higher salary. LeGarrette Blount (6.4 FP), Kyle Juszczyk (4.2 FP), Mark Ingram (12.2 FP), Isaiah Crowell (10.4 FP), and LeSean McCoy (11.3 FP) are all worse options.

For contest winning DFS optimal lineups by our advanced computer projection and top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Fantasy Hub.

WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

Justin Jackson is projected to be the #44 running back the rest of the season. This week he is projected to be #14 at his position. He is projected to beat market expectations where he is the #40 running back based on ownership. Most fantasy players have roughly 30% of their weekly projections deviate significantly from their season average, but he is projected to be more volatile than most. He is projected for 2 good weeks versus one really underperforming week.

WEEKFPRANKPROJECTION (Bold = Good, Italic = Bad)
WK 14 to 16 Totals27.0#4430 Rush, 133 Yd, 1.25 Td, 5.6 Rec, 50 Yd, 0.26 Td, 0.27 Fl
WK 14 CIN11.7#1412.2 Rush, 55 Yd, 0.69 Td, 1.72 Rec, 15.7 Yd, 0.09 Td, 0.04 Fl
WK 15 @KC8.1#358.9 Rush, 45 Yd, 0.32 Td, 1.55 Rec, 14.3 Yd, 0.07 Td, 0.09 Fl
WK 16 BAL3.5#604.1 Rush, 15.7 Yd, 0.12 Td, 1.12 Rec, 9.5 Yd, 0.05 Td, 0.06 Fl

EXPERT RANKINGS (WEEK)

The Scout projections have a higher ranking than the market, and the 3 experts rank him lower than the market. The expert consensus rank is #18. The experts rank him behind Jordan Howard and ahead of Jeff Wilson. But the projections rank Jackson above Howard. He has the same expert consensus ranking in PPR leagues.

RANKPROJECTIONDAVE RICHARDJAMEY EISENBERGHEATH CUMMINGS
Higher#14#18#18#19
Market #30------------------------------------------------------------
Lower
PPR RANKPROJECTIONDAVE RICHARDJAMEY EISENBERGHEATH CUMMINGS
Higher#19#19#20#22
Market #30------------------------------------------------------------
Lower

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REST OF SEASON FANTASY VALUE

He is not expected to live up to high expectations based on our latest projections. He is owned in 72 percent of CBS leagues and this translates to an expected running back rank of #40. He is projected to average 6.8 FPs which translates to a position rank of #44. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other running backs that are projected for more points that may be available via trade or off the waiver wire. Frank Gore (35 FP), Chris Thompson (29 FP), Derrick Henry (30 FP), Elijah McGuire (30 FP), and Doug Martin (35 FP) are all better options than Justin Jackson. In PPR leagues, Justin Jackson is projected for 8.2 FPs per week and his projected position ranking drops to #46.

KEY STATSRUSHRUSHYDRECYDTOUCHDOWNSFP
Projected Average per Game 7.433.312.50.46.8
Actual Avg Since Last Season2.214.14.20.12.5
Lower Own%J. Jackson ROSHigher Own%
F. Gore (35 FP)27 FPT. Yeldon (14 FP)
C. Thompson (29 FP)#40 Running BackJ. Samuels (26 FP)
D. Henry (30 FP) 
 
E. McGuire (30 FP) 
 
D. Martin (35 FP) 
 

Make sure you visit Sportsline for picks against the spread, on totals and the money line by the computer and top handicappers.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2018)

Justin Jackson has only played in 5 games this season.

2018 & SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (5 Games)2220127133800
RB Rank#75#82#69#52#98#83#153#1
Average Stats4.5425.40.20.67.600
RB Rank (Averages)#69#72#61#46#96#75#1#1
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