Kansas City Chiefs Have a 22% Chance of Winning the Championship

We have recently enhanced the site to feature Team Outlook and Scouting Reports that provide one of a kind insights into your favorite team's past, present and most importantly, future performance. Our Reports are updated daily in season and minimally weekly off-season and are geared towards fans who are analytical and invested ($) in their team's performance. For our latest power rankings, betting futures and the detailed Fantasy Player Scouting reports powered by our proprietary projection model check out the new Scout.


The Chiefs are favored to win by 5 points. They are -222 to win based on the money line which carries a 'juice adjusted' implied probability of 65.9%. The oddsmakers have set the over/under at 56.5 points. If you extrapolate the spread and total lines you get a Vegas expected score of Chiefs 30.8 and Colts 25.8. The Sportsline game simulations favor the Chiefs.


Their chances of then winning the AFC is 39.1%. They have 22% chance of winning the Super Bowl.

The following is the percentage of simulations the Chiefs win against the rest of the remaining playoff teams.

  • Favored vs the Saints by 55.6%
  • Favored vs the Patriots by 58.3%
  • Favored vs the Rams by 58.2%
  • Favored vs the Chargers by 59.4%
  • Favored vs the Eagles by 68.7%
  • Favored vs the Cowboys by 63.8%

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which makes sense given their strong offensive TD per play rate. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game and below average in yards per play allowed.

Stream Kansas City games with SlingTV

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games35.3 - 26.312-4, +1219-6, +24010-6 62.5% Over
On Road38.2 - 34.65-3, +1115-2, +2807-1 87.5% Over
At Home32.4 - 18.07-1, +1124-4, -403-5 62.5% Under
12/30 OAK35-3Win +10Covered -14.5Under 52.5
12/23 @SEA31-38Loss -100ATS Loss PKOver 56
12/13 LAC28-29Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Over 54.5
12/9 BAL27-24Win +33ATS Loss -6.5Over 49
12/2 @OAK40-33Win +10ATS Loss -14Over 53.5
11/19 @LAR51-54Loss -100ATS Push +3Over 63.5
11/11 ARI26-14Win +6ATS Loss -16Under 49.5
11/4 @CLE37-21Win +23Covered -8Over 51.5
10/28 DEN30-23Win +22ATS Loss -8.5Under 53.5
10/21 CIN45-10Win +36Covered -6Under 56.5
10/14 @NE40-43Loss -100Covered +3.5Over 59.5
10/7 JAC30-14Win +67Covered -3Under 48
10/1 @DEN27-23Win +43Covered -3.5Under 53.5
9/23 SF38-27Win +38Covered -6Over 53.5
9/16 @PIT42-37Win +170Covered +4.5Over 52.5
9/9 @LAC38-28Win +165Covered +3.5Over 48