Leonard Fournette: A Highly Ranked Fantasy Player To Avoid

SCOUT ANALYST TAKE

In his first two seasons in the NFL, Fournette has missed 14 games and when Fournette has played for the Jaguars, he hasn't looked worthy of being the 4th overall pick in the 2017 NFL Draft. In 8 games in 2018 Fournette rushed for just 439 yards on 133 caries (3.3 yards per carry). Fournette went in the first or second round of most fantasy football drafts last season but finished the season outside of the top-30 running backs. SportsLine projects Fournette to finish 2019 with 856 rushing yards and 8 TDs on 239 carries (3.6 yards per carry). Fournette is also projected to have 44 receptions for 377 receiving yards this upcoming season. The Jaguars offensive line should be better this season with several starters returning from injury, but the 3.6 rushing average yards per carry and Fournette's injury history scares me. I would stay off from Fournette this season; He hasn't shown that he can stay healthy and hasn't been explosive.

DRAFT ADVICE AND POSITION RANK

Draft Leonard Fournette as a weekly fantasy starter in 2019. His 177 projected fantasy points puts him at #14 behind Aaron Jones and ahead of Todd Gurley. He has averaged 12.3 fantasy points in his past 8 games, which is more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 11.1 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#15) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is slightly more valuable in PPR leagues where he is the #12 ranked running back. He is slightly underrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 98%, he is the #15 most highly owned running back. Leonard Fournette is expected to improve on last season's #36 fantasy position rank.

REST OF SEASON RB RANKPROJECTIONFANTASY STATS SINCE 2018
#10 Nick Chubb (99% OWN)188 FP, 11.8 per game174 FP, 16 gp, 10.9 per game (#18)
#11 Derrick Henry (95% OWN)188 FP, 11.8 per game186 FP, 16 gp, 11.6 per game (#17)
#12 Dalvin Cook (99% OWN)188 FP, 11.7 per game112 FP, 11 gp, 10.2 per game (#23)
#13 Aaron Jones (79% OWN)184 FP, 11.5 per game146 FP, 12 gp, 12.1 per game (#15)
#14 Leonard Fournette (98% OWN)177 FP, 11.1 per game98 FP, 8 gp, 12.3 per game (#13)

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

LEONARD FOURNETTEFPPPRRUSHYDTDRECRECYD
2019 Projection1772212398557.843.7378
-- Per Game (16 Proj)11.113.814.953.40.492.7323.6
Week 1 vs KC12.615.314.9630.542.7024
Week 2 @HOU9.512.214.9440.392.7025
2018 Season98120133439522185
-- Per Game (8 GP)12.31516.654.90.622.7523.1