Los Angeles Chargers Finish the Season 12-4

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP

The sum of all of their money line implied probabilities (adjusted for the juice) projects to 10.2 wins. Their 12 actual wins was above expectation. They exceeded expectations on the road. They went 7-1 on the road and were expected to win 4.3. They won 5 at home and were expected to win 6. Below is a recap of all 16 regular games. Anyone who backed the Chargers in all of their games on the money line would be down -155 units. Against the spread, they have delivered a +130 profit risking 110 to win 100 (9-7 ATS). The Chargers have turned an ATS profit on the road but have lost at home.

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which makes sense given their strong offensive TD per play rate. They are an elite scoring defense, which make sense given their strong yards per play allowed rank.

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games26.8 - 20.612-4, -1559-7, +1308-8 50% Over
On Road27.8 - 19.97-1, +4777-1, +5905-3 62.5% Over
At Home25.8 - 21.25-3, -1872-6, -4603-5 62.5% Under
12/30 @DEN23-9Win +32Covered -6.5Under 43.5
12/22 BAL10-22Loss -100ATS Loss -4Under 42.5
12/13 @KC29-28Win +170Covered +3.5Over 54.5
12/9 CIN26-21Win +7ATS Loss -17Under 48.5
12/2 @PIT33-30Win +145Covered +3Over 53
11/25 ARI45-10Win +10Covered -14Over 43.5
11/18 DEN22-23Loss -100ATS Loss -7Under 47
11/11 @OAK20-6Win +19Covered -10Under 50.5
11/4 @SEA25-17Win +91Covered PKUnder 48.5
10/21 TEN20-19Win +33ATS Loss -6.5Under 46
10/14 @CLE38-14Win +91Covered +1Over 47
10/7 OAK26-10Win +43Covered -5.5Under 51.5
9/30 SF29-27Win +20ATS Loss -10Over 46.5
9/23 @LAR23-35Loss -100ATS Loss +7Over 49
9/16 @BUF31-20Win +29Covered -7.5Over 41.5
9/9 KC28-38Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Over 48

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 15 Games27.0 (#5)5.4% (#3)6.9 (#8)276 (#11)8.5 (#3)117 (#15)4.8 (#6)1.0 (#3)
On the Road28.4 (#4)6.3% (#2)7.2 (#9)251 (#16)8.6 (#2)139 (#4)5.5 (#1)0.9 (#2)
At Home25.8 (#13)4.6% (#12)6.6 (#13)298 (#8)8.4 (#6)98 (#28)4.1 (#26)1.1 (#11)
Last 4 Games24.5 (#9)4.4% (#9)6.0 (#22)253 (#13)7.2 (#10)85 (#28)3.9 (#24)1.2 (#12)

TEAM DEFENSE:

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 15 Games21.3 (#8)3.8% (#9)6.0 (#8)240 (#7)7.2 (#10)107 (#9)4.4 (#13)1.1 (#21)
Road (7 Games)21.4 (#8)3.9% (#14)5.9 (#17)263 (#18)6.8 (#6)107 (#10)4.5 (#20)1.3 (#16)
Home Games21.2 (#15)3.7% (#14)6.0 (#7)219 (#6)7.6 (#20)108 (#13)4.2 (#12)0.9 (#28)
Last 4 Games25.2 (#25)4.8% (#26)5.8 (#10)224 (#12)7.0 (#17)107 (#13)4.2 (#13)0.5 (#29)

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Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games26.8 - 20.612-4, -1559-7, +1308-8 50% Over
On Road27.8 - 19.97-1, +4777-1, +5905-3 62.5% Over
At Home25.8 - 21.25-3, -1872-6, -4603-5 62.5% Under
12/30 @DEN23-9Win +32Covered -6.5Under 43.5
12/22 BAL10-22Loss -100ATS Loss -4Under 42.5
12/13 @KC29-28Win +170Covered +3.5Over 54.5
12/9 CIN26-21Win +7ATS Loss -17Under 48.5
12/2 @PIT33-30Win +145Covered +3Over 53
11/25 ARI45-10Win +10Covered -14Over 43.5
11/18 DEN22-23Loss -100ATS Loss -7Under 47
11/11 @OAK20-6Win +19Covered -10Under 50.5
11/4 @SEA25-17Win +91Covered PKUnder 48.5
10/21 TEN20-19Win +33ATS Loss -6.5Under 46
10/14 @CLE38-14Win +91Covered +1Over 47
10/7 OAK26-10Win +43Covered -5.5Under 51.5
9/30 SF29-27Win +20ATS Loss -10Over 46.5
9/23 @LAR23-35Loss -100ATS Loss +7Over 49
9/16 @BUF31-20Win +29Covered -7.5Over 41.5
9/9 KC28-38Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Over 48