Los Angeles Rams Have a 17.8% Chance of Winning the Super Bowl

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The Rams are +3 point underdogs. They are +150 to win based on the money line which carries a 'juice adjusted' implied probability of 38.8%. The oddsmakers have set the over/under at 56.5 points. If you extrapolate the spread and total lines you get a Vegas expected score of Rams 26.8 and Saints 29.8. The Sportsline game simulations favor the Saints.


They have 17.8% chance of winning the Super Bowl.

The following is the percentage of simulations the Rams win against the rest of the remaining playoff teams.

  • Underdog vs the Chiefs winning 39%
  • Underdog vs the Patriots winning 40.7%

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, which make sense given their strong yards per play rank. They are an average team in points allowed. Offensively, they are the #17 ranked team in yards per play allowed. Based on opponents' TDs per play they are a bottom 10 defense.

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Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games32.9 - 24.013-3, +1107-7, -708-8 50% Over
On Road28.8 - 19.96-2, -474-4, -402-6 75% Under
At Home37.1 - 28.17-1, +973-3, -306-2 75% Over
12/30 SF48-32Win +20Covered -10.5Over 49.5
12/23 @ARI31-9Win +13Covered -14Under 43
12/16 PHI23-30Loss -100ATS Loss -13Over 52
12/9 @CHI6-15Loss -100ATS Loss -3Under 51
12/2 @DET30-16Win +19Covered -10Under 54
11/19 KC54-51Win +56ATS Push -3Over 63.5
11/11 SEA36-31Win +20ATS Loss -9.5Over 51
11/4 @NO35-45Loss -100ATS Loss -2Over 57.5
10/28 GB29-27Win +29ATS Loss -7.5Under 57
10/21 @SF39-10Win +23Covered -8.5Under 51.5
10/14 @DEN23-20Win +31ATS Loss -7Under 50
10/7 @SEA33-31Win +29ATS Loss -7.5Over 50.5
9/27 MIN38-31Win +29ATS Push -7Over 49
9/23 LAC35-23Win +32Covered -7Over 49
9/16 ARI34-0Win +11Covered -12Under 43.5
9/10 @OAK33-13Win +38Covered -6Under 47.5