Melvin Gordon Was the #7 Fantasy RB

SEASON FANTASY RECAP AND TREND

Melvin Gordon was the #31 ranked fantasy player this season and the #7 RB. His value would have been even better if he had played as many games as other elite RBs. Based on average fantasy points he is the #2 RB. He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 5 games he averaged 23.1 fantasy points which was higher than his start (19.2 FP) and his ending average (13 FP). He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Gordon can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 18.8 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 33 fantasy points with a floor of 7 points.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His average Fantasy points increased by 31% this season.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points226230210
FP Average18.814.416.1
Regular Season GP121613

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Melvin Gordon played in 12 games in 2018. He was the #6 ranked fantasy RB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 18.8 FP per game (#2 ranked based on average). His value goes up if he plays a full season. He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

2017-2018FPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (28 Games)45645919901810896680
RB Rank#3#4#5#3#8#7#6#1
Average Stats16.316.471.10.643.934.50.290
RB Rank (Averages)#7#8#8#5#12#9#7#1
2018 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (12 Games)226175885105049040
RB Rank#6#20#17#6#15#10#7#1
Average Stats18.814.673.80.834.240.80.330
RB Rank (Averages)#2#17#9#4#11#7#6#1
2017 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (16 Games)230284110585847640
RB Rank#5#3#7#6#8#7#4#1
Average Stats14.417.869.10.53.629.80.250
RB Rank (Averages)#7#7#10#8#13#11#9#1

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WEEKLY FANTASY RECAP

Out of 12 fantasy weeks, he was +20% above his weekly average of 18.8 FPs in 3 of them. He had 3 bad weeks where he was 20% below average.

WeekFantasy Points (GP)Good WeekBad Week
ALL18.8 FP per Week33
Week 118.6 (1 games)
Week 224.6 (1 games)+5.8
Week 314.4 (1 games)-4.4
Week 423.9 (1 games)+5.1
Week 518 (1 games)
Week 633 (1 games)+14.2
Week 918.3 (1 games)
Week 1022.5 (1 games)
Week 1115.6 (1 games)
Week 1218.6 (1 games)
Week 1611.4 (1 games)-7.4
Week 176.6 (1 games)-12.2

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 22 points and on DraftKings it was 25.3 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 14.4 and on FanDuel it was 12.9 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 33.9 and 27.6 on FanDuel. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All22 ($8.6K)3 G, 2 B25.3 ($8.1K)4 G, 2 B
12/30 @DEN8.1--9.6--
12/22 BAL12.9 ($8.6K)-9.114.4 ($8K)-10.9
11/25 ARI19.6 ($8.9K)--20.6 ($8.6K)--
11/18 DEN18.6 ($8.7K)--21.6 ($8.9K)--
11/11 @OAK25 ($8.9K)--27.5 ($9K)--
11/4 @SEA18.8 ($8.6K)--22.3 ($8.2K)--
10/14 @CLE34 ($8.8K)+1238 ($8.2K)+12.7
10/7 OAK20 ($8.7K)--22 ($8.6K)--
9/30 SF27.4 ($8.7K)+5.433.9 ($8.3K)+8.6
9/23 @LAR15.4 ($8.4K)-6.616.4 ($7.4K)-8.9
9/16 @BUF27.6 ($8.2K)+5.630.6 ($7.4K)+5.3
9/9 KC23.1 ($8.1K)--30.6 ($6.8K)+5.3