New Orleans Saints Have a 30% Chance of Winning the Super Bowl

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The Saints are favored to win by 3 points. They are -170 to win based on the money line which carries a 'juice adjusted' implied probability of 61.2%. The oddsmakers have set the over/under at 56.5 points. If you extrapolate the spread and total lines you get a Vegas expected score of Saints 29.8 and Rams 26.8. The Sportsline game simulations favor the Saints.


They have 30% chance of winning the Super Bowl.

The following is the percentage of simulations the Saints win against the rest of the remaining playoff teams.

  • Underdog vs the Chiefs winning 41.7%
  • Underdog vs the Patriots winning 48.1%

They are an elite scoring team based on points per game, despite a relatively low yards per play rank. They are an elite scoring defense, despite a relatively low yards per play allowed rank.

Stream New Orleans games with SlingTV

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games31.5 - 22.113-3, +4910-6, +3407-9 56.2% Under
On Road28.9 - 18.57-1, +3506-2, +3802-6 75% Under
At Home34.1 - 25.66-2, +494-4, -405-3 62.5% Over
12/30 CAR14-33Loss -100ATS Loss -8Over 41.5
12/23 PIT31-28Win +35ATS Loss -6.5Over 53
12/17 @CAR12-9Win +38ATS Loss -6Under 50.5
12/9 @TB28-14Win +22Covered -9.5Under 54.5
11/29 @DAL10-13Loss -100ATS Loss -7.5Under 51.5
11/22 ATL31-17Win +14Covered -13Under 60.5
11/18 PHI48-7Win +27Covered -7Under 56.5
11/11 @CIN51-14Win +36Covered -6Over 53.5
11/4 LAR45-35Win +115Covered +2Over 57.5
10/28 @MIN30-20Win +65Covered -2.5Under 53.5
10/21 @BAL24-23Win +125Covered +2.5Under 49.5
10/8 WAS43-19Win +37Covered -6Over 51.5
9/30 @NYG33-18Win +59Covered -3.5Under 51.5
9/23 @ATL43-37Win +105Covered +1.5Over 54
9/16 CLE21-18Win +21ATS Loss -9.5Under 51
9/9 TB40-48Loss -100ATS Loss -10Over 49.5