Sunday, January 19, 2020
Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs
Both the simulations and the betting lines are strongly on the Chiefs to win the game. The projected score is Chiefs 30 and Titans 20, and Kansas City is winning 73% of the sims. The moneyline for the Chiefs is -350 which translates to 78 percent (chance of winning). The moneyline has not moved significantly which indicates that the betting public agrees with the implied betting line probabilities. The Titans have the recent head-to-head edge going 2-0. In these games, the Titans averaged 28 and the Chiefs 26 ppg. The projection based point spread is KC -10. Bettors seem to be favoring the Chiefs as the Vegas line has moved from -7 to -7.5. The Chiefs have a record of 9-4-1 as a favorite. The Titans have a record of 11-7-0 as an underdog. Their straight up head-to-head record is the same as their ATS records. The Titans are 2-0-0 against the spread vs the Chiefs. The Chiefs were favored by an average of -7.2 points in these games but the Titans won by an average of 2 points.
|Tennessee Titans||53||22.8||20.1||25%||27%||28.5 (2 Wins)|
|Kansas City Chiefs||-7.5||30.2||30.1||75%||73%||26.5 (0 Wins)|
VEGAS is the expected score based on the point spread and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the money lines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups
Visit Sportsline to get the latest lines, updated projections, best values, and picks from some of the top Vegas handicappers. We also have the best player projections for Season Long and Daily Fantasy players.
Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers are solidly favored to win based on simulations and the current odds. The projected score is 49ers 28 and Packers 18, with San Francisco winning 73% of the time. The moneyline for the 49ers is -355 which translates to 78 percent (chance of winning). The moneyline has not moved significantly which indicates that the betting public agrees with the implied betting line probabilities. They both have one win head-to-head in recent seasons. In these games the 49ers averaged 34 points per game and the Packers 20. The projection based point spread is SF -10. More of the action seems to be on the 49ers with the Vegas line moving from -7 to -7.5. Coming into this game as a favorite, the 49ers are 5-6-1. As an underdog, the Packers are 5-5-1. The 49ers are 2-0-0 against the spread vs the Packers. The average point spread in these games was Packers -3 but the 49ers won by an average of 13 points.
|Green Bay Packers||45||18.8||17.9||25%||27%||20.5 (1 Win)|
|San Francisco 49ers||-7.5||26.2||27.9||75%||73%||33.5 (1 Win)|