NFL Outlook: New York Giants Have a 0.1% Chance to Win the Super Bowl...Projected to Finish Ahead of Redskins

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

Their odds to win it all are 50/1, 2% (#21). They are not a good bet to win the Super Bowl. Their 0.1% chance is #24 in the league. In simulations, they win the NFC 0.3% of the time and are not a good value at 25/1, 3.8%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 6.5 games. The Giants are averaging 6.3 wins per sim. At +500 the Giants are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 12.5% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/0, 0%. They win the division in 6% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NFC.

For winning picks against the spread, total and money line for all NFL games by our proven computer model and leading handicappers visit SportsLine.com where you can also get fantasy football and daily fantasy optimal lineups from CBSSports' Top Experts.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 4-12 record last season was very disappointing. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 6.2-9.8. They were not good against the spread going 7-9 (-290 loss). They went over 10 times and came in under 6 times. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
9/7 DAL27%0-20-22-0
9/14 BUF29%0-10-10-1
9/21 TB32%1-01-01-0
9/28 WAS65%2-02-01-1
10/5 MIN33%0-10-10-1

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are a very poor scoring defense based on points per game, despite having a much better yards per play allowed rank.

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 16 Games21.3 (#18)4.2% (#12)5.9 (#21)254 (#15)6.7 (#22)105 (#19)4.7 (#7)2.1 (#30)
On the Road23.5 (#14)5.4% (#2)6.3 (#19)269 (#8)7.1 (#15)96 (#23)4.8 (#6)1.5 (#23)
At Home19.1 (#24)3.2% (#26)5.6 (#21)239 (#19)6.3 (#30)115 (#15)4.5 (#12)2.6 (#31)
Last 4 Games27.8 (#8)6.0% (#4)6.8 (#7)285 (#10)7.7 (#8)135 (#8)5.4 (#4)1.2 (#17)

TEAM DEFENSE:

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 16 Games28.2 (#30)4.8% (#29)6.1 (#23)279 (#28)8.0 (#30)113 (#20)3.9 (#4)1.0 (#28)
Road Games30.4 (#31)5.0% (#29)6.2 (#31)324 (#32)8.6 (#31)93 (#6)3.2 (#1)1.0 (#26)
Home Games26.0 (#24)4.5% (#22)6.0 (#17)234 (#10)7.4 (#21)133 (#27)4.5 (#22)1.0 (#21)
Last 4 Games28.0 (#23)4.9% (#22)5.8 (#25)299 (#30)7.1 (#16)110 (#14)3.9 (#11)0.5 (#28)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team this season led by Saquon Barkley who was the #10 Runningback. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the position rankings. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Saquon Barkley10010Chris CarsonJoe Mixon
Darius Slayton8733Emmanuel SandersJamison Crowder
Golden Tate8640Chris ConleyLarry Fitzgerald
Sterling Shepard7254Will FullerHunter Renfrow
Evan Engram6719Jack DoyleRyan Griffin
Daniel Jones5423Gardner Minshew IIJacoby Brissett
Antoine Bethea4212Minkah FitzpatrickJessie Bates
Markus Golden4050Za`Darius SmithA.J. Klein
Alec Ogletree2359Damien WilsonMatt Judon
Jabrill Peppers2244Ronnie HarrisonKareem Jackson
NY Giants Defense2929Detroit DefenseCincinnati Defense