NFL Outlook: New York Jets Have a 0.1% Chance to Win the Super Bowl...Projected to Finish Ahead of Raiders

SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

There are 5 teams who have 60/1, 1.6% odds to win the Super Bowl. They do not have any real chance to win the Super Bowl. In simulations, they win the AFC 0.2% of the time and are not a good value at 30/1, 3.2%. Both the simulations and oddsmakers have them at 6.5 wins. At +240 the Jets are not a good value to make the playoffs with a 16.7% chance. Their odds of winning their division are 1/0, 0%. They win the division in 6.2% of simulations. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the AFC.

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REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

Their 7-9 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 37%. They also went 7-9 against the spread for a loss (-290 units). More of their games came in under (9) than went over (7). The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

OPPONENTSIM%H2H WLH2H ATSH2H OU
9/7 BUF29%1-11-10-2
9/15 CLE39%0-10-10-1
9/21 NE23%0-21-11-1
10/5 PHI24%0-10-10-1
10/12 DAL34%1-01-01-0

TEAM OFFENSIVE AND DEFENSIVE STATS WITH LEAGUE RANKINGS

They are a very poor scoring team based on points per game and below average in yards per play. They are a top 10 team based on yards per play allowed but only an average team in points allowed. They are the #11 ranked defense in opponents' TD rate (passing and rushing TDs per offensive play).

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 16 Games17.2 (#31)2.8% (#29)5.2 (#31)215 (#27)6.6 (#27)79 (#31)3.3 (#32)1.6 (#23)
On the Road15.9 (#30)2.7% (#25)5.1 (#31)206 (#29)6.2 (#28)75 (#32)3.4 (#31)1.6 (#25)
At Home18.6 (#27)2.8% (#30)5.3 (#29)225 (#24)7.0 (#18)82 (#29)3.2 (#31)1.5 (#16)
Last 4 Games18.0 (#27)2.4% (#28)5.1 (#25)218 (#24)6.7 (#20)96 (#24)3.4 (#32)1.2 (#17)

TEAM DEFENSE:

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 16 Games22.4 (#16)3.7% (#11)5.4 (#7)250 (#14)6.8 (#10)87 (#2)3.3 (#2)1.3 (#17)
Road Games25.4 (#23)4.5% (#23)5.4 (#5)248 (#15)7.1 (#14)88 (#4)3.3 (#2)1.0 (#26)
Home Games19.5 (#9)2.9% (#5)5.3 (#11)252 (#19)6.6 (#9)86 (#5)3.4 (#2)1.6 (#5)
Last 4 Games19.8 (#9)2.9% (#9)5.7 (#14)227 (#9)6.6 (#9)122 (#22)4.6 (#22)1.5 (#11)

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team this season led by Le`Veon Bell who was the #21 Runningback. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the position rankings. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.

PLAYEROWN%RANKBETTER OPTIONBETTER THAN
Le`Veon Bell9921Raheem MostertDavid Montgomery
Jamison Crowder7934Darius SlaytonCole Beasley
Jamal Adams734Budda BakerVonn Bell
Robby Anderson7038Mike WilliamsChris Conley
Sam Darnold5427Andy DaltonKyle Allen
Ryan Griffin3820Evan EngramTyler Eifert
James Burgess2344Harold LandryMack Wilson
C.J. Mosley19151Cody BartonKamu Grugier-Hill
Demaryius Thomas1586Adam HumphriesOlabisi Johnson
Bilal Powell1380Qadree OllisonDontrell Hilliard
NY Jets Defense5713Tennessee DefenseGreen Bay Defense