NFL Playoff Power Rankings: Which Los Angeles Team (Rams or Chargers) Is Better?

1NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 23.3% Chance of Winning Super Bowl
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Their chances of then winning the NFC is 43.4%. They have 23.3% chance of winning the Super Bowl. According to Vegas odds they have a 30.8% chance of winning based on 9/2 odds. So at 23.3% in simulations they are not a good bet.

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2KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 22% Chance of Winning Super Bowl
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Their chances of then winning the AFC is 39.1%. They have 22% chance of winning the Super Bowl. They may be behind the Saints in sim% but at 9/4 (18.2% implied) they are the only good betting value.

3NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 15.5% Chance of Winning Super Bowl
Win 66% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their chances of then winning the AFC is 30.6%. They have 15.5% chance of winning the Super Bowl which means they are beating the NFC champ in just over 50% of simulations. The Patriots are 5/1 to win the Super Bowl which carries a 16.7% implied probability.

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4LOS ANGELES RAMS 14.9% Chance of Winning Super Bowl
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Their chances of then winning the NFC is 30.3%. They have 14.9% chance of winning the Super Bowl. They are favored by a touchdown in Vegas and in simulations.

5LOS ANGELES CHARGERS 10% Chance of Winning Super Bowl
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Their chances of then winning the AFC is 19.4%. They have 10% chance of winning the Super Bowl. So even though the Chargers are not even a Top 4 team in terms of winning the Super Bowl, they are favored by over 50% to beat the NFC Champ should they make it to the Super Bowl.

6PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 5.6% Chance of Winning Super Bowl
Win 58% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their chances of then winning the NFC is 13.8% which makes them a good longshot value bet at 8/1 (11.1%). They have 5.6% chance of winning the Super Bowl which is just under what their 16/1 (5.9%) odds imply.

7DALLAS COWBOYS 4.4% Chance of Winning Super Bowl
Win 52% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their chances of then winning the NFC is 12.5%. They have 4.4% chance of winning the Super Bowl. They are a fair value to win the NFC at 7/1 (12.5%) but not to win it all 14/1 (6.7%).

8INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 4.2% Chance of Winning Super Bowl
Win 52% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their chances of then winning the AFC is 10.9%. They have 4.2% chance of winning the Super Bowl. While they dominated the Texans on the road, they are only given a 34% chance to upset the Chiefs.