NFL Power Ranking: Kansas City Chiefs Are #1 with Ravens and 49ers Close Behind

1KANSAS CITY CHIEFS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 10.5 Wins
Win 75% of Neutral Field Simulations

They win the Super Bowl in 22.1% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 5/1, 16.7%. The Chiefs are averaging 11.9 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 10.5 games. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the AFC. They went 12-4 last season. They were very good against the spread going 10-5-1 for (+450 profit).

2SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 8 Wins
Win 74% of Neutral Field Simulations

They win the Super Bowl in 19.6% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. The 49ers are averaging 11.4 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 8 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the NFC. They went 13-3 last season. They were very good against the spread going 9-6-1 for (+240 profit).

3BALTIMORE RAVENS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 8.5 Wins
Win 74% of Neutral Field Simulations

They are a good bet to win the Super Bowl (18.6 percent chance). Current Odds are 8/1, 11.1%. The Ravens are averaging 11.5 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 8.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #2 in the AFC. They went 14-2 last season. They were very good against the spread going 10-5-1 for (+450 profit).

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4NEW ORLEANS SAINTS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 10.5 Wins
Win 70% of Neutral Field Simulations

They win the Super Bowl in 15.3% of simulations which makes them a good betting value. Current Odds are 10/1, 9.1%. The Saints are averaging 11.6 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 10.5 games. Based on wins per simulation they are projected to have the best record in the NFC. They went 13-3 last season. They were very good against the spread going 11-5 for (+550 profit).

5NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 11 Wins
Win 65% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their simulation based win percentage (6.3%) is not better than their odds implied probability but it would be if not for the juice on the lines. Current Odds are 14/1, 6.7%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 11 games. The Patriots are averaging 10.9 wins per sim. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the AFC. They were expected to win 76% of their games last season so their 12-4 met expectations.

6MINNESOTA VIKINGS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 9 Wins
Win 59% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their championship based ranking is better than their #8 ranking based on our neutral field simulations. If futures lines were not heavily juiced, the Vikings would be a good betting value. Their 3.4% chance to win the Super Bowl (based on simulations) is #6 in the league. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Vikings are averaging 9.8 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 9 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the NFC. They were expected to win 61% of their games last season so their 10-6 met expectations.

7DALLAS COWBOYS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 9 Wins
Win 59% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their 3.2% chance is #7 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 12/1, 7.7%. The Cowboys are averaging 10 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 9 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #3 in the NFC. Their 8-8 record last season was very disappointing. Their expected win percentage was 66%.

8LOS ANGELES RAMS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 10.5 Wins
Win 60% of Neutral Field Simulations

They are better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral field has them as the #6 team in the league. Their 1.9% chance is #8 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Rams are averaging 9 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 10.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the NFC. They went 9-7 last season. They were very good against the spread going 10-5-1 for (+450 profit).

9TENNESSEE TITANS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 8 Wins
Win 56% of Neutral Field Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.9% chance is #9 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Titans are averaging 9.1 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 8 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #5 in the AFC. Their 9-7 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 8.2-7.8.

10BUFFALO BILLS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 7 Wins
Win 58% of Neutral Field Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the Super Bowl. Their 1.8% chance is #10 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Bills are averaging 9.5 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 7 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #4 in the AFC. They went 10-6 last season. They were very good against the spread going 9-6-1 for (+240 profit).

11GREEN BAY PACKERS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 9 Wins
Win 55% of Neutral Field Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 1.1% chance is #11 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 9 games. The Packers are averaging 8.6 wins per sim. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the NFC. They went 13-3 last season. They were very good against the spread going 10-6 for (+340 profit).

12PITTSBURGH STEELERS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 9.5 Wins
Win 55% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their 1% chance is #12 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 16/1, 5.9%. The Steelers are averaging 8.7 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 9.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the AFC. They were expected to win 50% of their games last season so their 8-8 met expectations.

13SEATTLE SEAHAWKS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 9 Wins
Win 54% of Neutral Field Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the Super Bowl. Their 0.7% chance is #13 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Seahawks are averaging 7.7 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 9 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the NFC. Their 11-5 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 9.3-6.7.

14PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 10 Wins
Win 50% of Neutral Field Simulations

They are worse in our neutral power ranking where they are ranked just #16 in the league. Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.7% chance is #14 in the league. Current Odds are 20/1, 4.8%. The Eagles are averaging 8.7 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 10 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #6 in the NFC. They went 9-7 last season. They were not good against the spread going 7-9 (-290 loss).

15CHICAGO BEARS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 9 Wins
Win 52% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their 0.7% chance is #15 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 25/1, 3.8%. The Bears are averaging 8.2 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 9 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the NFC. Their 8-8 record last season failed to meet expectations. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 8.8-7.2.

16INDIANAPOLIS COLTS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 7.5 Wins
Win 50% of Neutral Field Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.5% chance is #16 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Colts are averaging 8.4 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 7.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #7 in the AFC. Their 7-9 record last season was very disappointing. Their game-by-game odds projected record was 8-8.

17HOUSTON TEXANS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 8.5 Wins
Win 50% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their 0.4% chance is #17 in the league which is not high enough to be a good bet. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Texans are averaging 7.8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 8.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #8 in the AFC. Their 10-6 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 51%.

18LOS ANGELES CHARGERS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 10 Wins
Win 48% of Neutral Field Simulations

They are not a good bet to win the Super Bowl. Their 0.2% chance is #18 in the league. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. The Chargers are averaging 7.8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 10 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #9 in the AFC. They went 5-11 last season. They were not good against the spread going 4-9-3 (-590 loss).

19TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 6.5 Wins
Win 44% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their championship based ranking is better than their #22 ranking based on our neutral field simulations. They are not a good bet to win the Super Bowl. Their 0.1% chance is #19 in the league. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. The Buccaneers are averaging 7 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 6.5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the NFC. Oddsmakers expected them to win 7.6 based on their money line game odds. Their 7-9 record last season failed to meet expectations.

20DENVER BRONCOS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 7 Wins
Win 48% of Neutral Field Simulations

Our projection recommends not betting on them to win it all. Their 0.1% chance is #20 in the league. Current Odds are 60/1, 1.6%. The Broncos are averaging 7.5 wins per sim which makes them a decent bet to win over 7 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #10 in the AFC. Their 7-9 record last season was ahead of what was expected of them. Their game-by-game odds gave them a projected record of 6.5-9.5.

21ATLANTA FALCONS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 8.5 Wins
Win 46% of Neutral Field Simulations

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the Super Bowl is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 50/1, 2%. The Falcons are averaging 7 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 8.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the NFC. They were expected to win 43% of their games last season so their 7-9 met expectations.

22ARIZONA CARDINALS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 5 Wins
Win 44% of Neutral Field Simulations

While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the Super Bowl is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. The Cardinals are averaging 6.7 wins per sim which makes them a solid bet to win over 5 games. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the NFC. They went 5-10-1 last season. They were very good against the spread going 9-5-2 for (+350 profit).

23DETROIT LIONS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 6.5 Wins
Win 40% of Neutral Field Simulations

Their championship based ranking is better than their #25 ranking based on our neutral field simulations. While not completely impossible, their chances of winning the Super Bowl is under 0.1 percent. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 6.5 games. The Lions are averaging 6.2 wins per sim. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the NFC. They went 3-12-1 last season. They were not good against the spread going 6-10 (-500 loss).

24JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 8 Wins
Win 41% of Neutral Field Simulations

They do not have any real chance to win the Super Bowl. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Jaguars are averaging 6.6 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 8 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the AFC. They went 6-10 last season. They were not good against the spread going 7-9 (-290 loss).

25CLEVELAND BROWNS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 9 Wins
Win 45% of Neutral Field Simulations

They win the Super Bowl in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 30/1, 3.2%. The Browns are averaging 7.1 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 9 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #11 in the AFC. Their 6-10 record last season was very disappointing. Their expected win percentage was 52%. They are much better in our neutral power ranking. Their sim win percentage vs every other team on a neutral field has them as the #21 team in the league.

26WASHINGTON REDSKINS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 6 Wins
Win 32% of Neutral Field Simulations

They win the Super Bowl in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 200/1, 0.5%. The Redskins are averaging 5.5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 6 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #15 in the NFC. They went 3-13 last season. They were not good against the spread going 6-10 (-500 loss).

27LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 6 Wins
Win 37% of Neutral Field Simulations

They win the Super Bowl in less than 0.1% of simulations. Current Odds are 40/1, 2.4%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 6 games. The Raiders are averaging 5.6 wins per sim. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the AFC. They were expected to win 41% of their games last season so their 7-9 met expectations.

28NEW YORK JETS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 7.5 Wins
Win 33% of Neutral Field Simulations

They do not have any real chance to win the Super Bowl. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. The Jets are averaging 5.8 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 7.5 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #13 in the AFC. They went 7-9 last season. They also went 7-9 against the spread for a loss (-290 units).

29NEW YORK GIANTS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 6 Wins
Win 33% of Neutral Field Simulations

They do not win the Super Bowl in any simulations. Current Odds are 80/1, 1.2%. The Giants are averaging 6.1 wins per sim which is essentially the same as their futures line of 6 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #14 in the NFC. They went 4-12 last season. They were not good against the spread going 7-9 (-290 loss).

30CAROLINA PANTHERS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 8 Wins
Win 36% of Neutral Field Simulations

They do not win the Super Bowl in any simulations. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Panthers are averaging 5.1 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 8 wins. In simulations they finish last in the NFC based on projected wins. They went 5-11 last season. They were not good against the spread going 6-9-1 (-390 loss).

31CINCINNATI BENGALS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 6 Wins
Win 31% of Neutral Field Simulations

They do not win the Super Bowl in any simulations. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. The Bengals are averaging 5 wins per sim so we recommend betting them to come under 6 wins. Their average wins per simulation puts them at #15 in the AFC. They went 2-14 last season. They were not good against the spread going 6-9-1 (-390 loss).

32MIAMI DOLPHINS 0-0 | Futures Result: Under 4.5 Wins
Win 24% of Neutral Field Simulations

They have no chance to win the Super Bowl. Current Odds are 100/1, 1%. Our projection is leaning on them to win under 4.5 games. The Dolphins are averaging 4.2 wins per sim. In simulations they finish last in the AFC based on projected wins. Their 5-11 record last season was way ahead of what was expected of them. Their expected win percentage was just 22%.