NFL Power Rankings: New Orleans Saints Holding Steady At #1

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1NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (10-2, 83.3%): Winning 71 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 13-3

Their current odds of winning the NFC are 5/4 and in simulations they win the conference 41.5% of the time. They have a 22.7% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 3/1. Their chances are up significantly since 11/6 where they were at 15.4%. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 10/8.

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2NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (9-3, 75%): Winning 70 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 12-4

Computer simulations give them a 35.5% chance of winning the AFC with Vegas odds at 9/4. They have a 19.1 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl (Odds 5/1). Their chances are down from 23% on November 6. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #4.

Sportsline.com uses these situations where a team's power ranking is not in line with what oddsmakers and the public think to find great values against the spread.

3KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (10-2, 83.3%): Winning 68 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 13-3

Computer simulations give them a 31.7% chance of winning the AFC with Vegas odds at 2/1. They have a 16.9 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl (Odds 9/2). Their chances have dropped since 11/26 when they were at 20.1 percent.

4LOS ANGELES RAMS (11-1, 91.7%): Winning 67 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 14-2

Their current odds of winning the NFC are 1/1 and in simulations they win the conference 35.5% of the time. The odds of them winning the Super Bowl are 5/2 and they win it all in 18 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are up significantly since 11/27 where they were at 14.6%. Their power ranking is down 3 spots since 10/22. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #1.

5LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (9-3, 75%): Winning 64 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 11-5

They have an 11.9 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 4/1). They have a 5.8% chance of winning the championship with Vegas odds at 9/1. Their chances have dropped since 11/16 when they were at 7.7 percent. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 10/8.

6PITTSBURGH STEELERS (7-4-1, 63.6%): Winning 61 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 9-6-1

Their current odds of winning the AFC are 5/1 and in simulations they win the conference 6% of the time. They have a 2.7 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl (Odds 12/1). Their chances have dropped since 11/18 when they were at 7.8 percent. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 17 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #11.

7BALTIMORE RAVENS (7-5, 58.3%): Winning 60 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 9-7

They have a 5.8 percent chance of reaching the Finals (Odds stand at 18/1). They have a 2.6 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl (Odds 40/1). Their chances are up significantly since 11/13 where they were at 0.3%. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 31 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 6 spots since 11/5.

8SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (7-5, 58.3%): Winning 59 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 10-6

Their current odds of winning the NFC are 20/1 and in simulations they win the conference 7% of the time. The odds of them winning the Super Bowl are 40/1 and they win it all in 3 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are up significantly from 1.1% on 11/12. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 10 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 10/8.

9DALLAS COWBOYS (7-5, 58.3%): Winning 55 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 9-7

Computer simulations give them a 5% chance of winning the NFC with Vegas odds at 15/1. The odds of them winning the Super Bowl are 30/1 and they win it all in 2 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are up significantly since 11/6 where they were at 0.2%. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 16 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 10 spots since 10/8.

10MINNESOTA VIKINGS (6-5-1, 54.5%): Winning 54 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 8-7-1

Their current odds of winning the NFC are 20/1 and in simulations they win the conference 3.3% of the time. The odds of them winning the Super Bowl are 40/1 and they win it all in 1.2 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances have held steady over the past month. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 37 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/28. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #15.

11CHICAGO BEARS (8-4, 66.7%): Winning 53 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 10-6

Their current odds of winning the NFC are 10/1 and in simulations they win the conference 5.4% of the time. The odds of them winning the Super Bowl are 20/1 and they win it all in 2.1 percent of our latest simulations. Their chances are down from 3.5% on November 11. While the odds are still in their favor, there is a 7 percent chance that they slide out of the playoffs. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 10/23. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #7.

12HOUSTON TEXANS (9-3, 75%): Winning 53 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 11-5

Computer simulations give them a 7.7% chance of winning the AFC with Vegas odds at 6/1. They have a 2.8 percent chance of winning the Super Bowl (Odds 14/1). Their chances are up significantly from 1.6% on 11/12. Their power ranking is up 11 spots since 10/8. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #5.

13PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (6-6, 50%): Winning 53 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 8-8

Their playoff chances currently stand at 25 percent. Their chances are down from 39% back on 11/9. Their power ranking is down 6 spots since 10/8. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #17.

14ATLANTA FALCONS (4-8, 33.3%): Winning 52 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 6-10

Their projected win total is down from 8 wins on November 9. Their power ranking is up 4 spots since 11/23. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #23.

15CAROLINA PANTHERS (6-6, 50%): Winning 51 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 8-8

They have a 14% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 68% back on 11/6. Their power ranking is down 6 spots since 11/6. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #19.

16DENVER BRONCOS (6-6, 50%): Winning 50 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 8-8

Their playoff chances currently stand at 16 percent. This is a big jump from the 1% chance they had back on 11/13. Their power ranking is up 11 spots since 10/8. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #12.

17GREEN BAY PACKERS (4-7-1, 36.4%): Winning 49 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 6-9-1

On 1/6 their projected win total was up to 8 wins. While not great, they still have an outside shot at making the playoffs (2.8%). Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 11/19. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #21.

18TENNESSEE TITANS (6-6, 50%): Winning 47 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 8-8

They have a 12% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 48% back on 11/11. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 11/13. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #13.

19CLEVELAND BROWNS (4-7-1, 36.4%): Winning 47 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 6-9-1

Their projected record has not changed over the past month. Their power ranking is up 10 spots since 10/16. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #25.

20INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (6-6, 50%): Winning 47 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 8-8

They have a 15% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 47% back on 11/26. Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 10/15. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #14.

21DETROIT LIONS (4-8, 33.3%): Winning 46 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 6-10

We have projected this same record consistently for the past month. Their power ranking is down 9 spots since 10/22.

22TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (5-7, 41.7%): Winning 46 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 6-10

Their projected record has not changed over the past month. While not great, they still have an outside shot at making the playoffs (1%). Their power ranking is up 5 spots since 11/20.

23JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (4-8, 33.3%): Winning 45 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 6-10

Their projected record has not changed over the past month. Their power ranking is down 15 spots since 10/9. They are better than their projected win-loss record indicates. Their power rank based on projected wins is just #27.

24NEW YORK GIANTS (4-8, 33.3%): Winning 42 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 6-10

Their projection is up from 4 wins on November 9. Their power ranking is up 7 spots since 10/15.

25WASHINGTON REDSKINS (6-6, 50%): Winning 41 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 8-8

Their playoff chances currently stand at 26 percent. Their chances are down from 81% back on 11/11. Their power ranking is down 9 spots since 10/29. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #18.

26NEW YORK JETS (3-9, 25%): Winning 39 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 5-11

Their projected record has not changed over the past month. Their power ranking is down 6 spots since 10/15.

27CINCINNATI BENGALS (5-7, 41.7%): Winning 38 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 6-10

Their projected win total is down from 9 wins on November 9. Their power ranking is down 16 spots since 10/8. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #20.

28SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (2-10, 16.7%): Winning 38 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 4-12

Their projected record has not changed over the past month. Their power ranking is down 4 spots since 11/20.

29MIAMI DOLPHINS (6-6, 50%): Winning 38 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 8-8

They have a 7% chance of making the playoffs. Their chances are down from 16% back on 11/6. Their power ranking is down 5 spots since 10/15. They are not as good as their projected win-loss record would indicate. Their rank based on projected wins is #16.

30BUFFALO BILLS (4-8, 33.3%): Winning 35 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 5-11

Their projected record has not changed over the past month.

31ARIZONA CARDINALS (3-9, 25%): Winning 34 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 4-12

We have projected this same record consistently for the past month.

32OAKLAND RAIDERS (2-10, 16.7%): Winning 29 Percent of Neutral Field Simulations
Projected Record: 3-13

We have projected this same record consistently for the past month.

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