NFL Recap from Week 1: Filled With Surprising Upset Winners

SUMMARY: 4 Major Upsets, 2 Slight Upsets, 5 Easy Expected Wins

It was a week highlighted by upsets. The biggest upset of the week was the Tennessee Titans beating the Cleveland Browns 43-13 despite the Browns being -5.5 favorites. The computer simulation did not pick the Titans to win but it did peg them as being the better value on the money line. The San Francisco 49ers versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers was also an upset. San Francisco won the game 31-17 and Vegas odds gave them a 48% chance of winning. There were multiple favorites, or even money teams, that won games by large margins. The Baltimore Ravens were -333 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Miami Dolphins by 49 points.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Packers vs BearsCHI 25.0, GB 22.0CHI 24.4, GB 20.3GB 10, CHI 3 Major Upset
Rams vs PanthersLAR 25.2, CAR 23.8LAR 30.1, CAR 24.5LAR 30, CAR 27 Expected Win
Redskins vs EaglesPHI 27.0, WAS 17.0PHI 27.5, WAS 17.5PHI 32, WAS 27 Expected Win
Bills vs JetsNYJ 22.0, BUF 19.5NYJ 25.1, BUF 19.8BUF 17, NYJ 16 Slight Upset
Falcons vs VikingsMIN 25.0, ATL 21.5MIN 23.8, ATL 21.1MIN 28, ATL 12 Easy Expected win
Ravens vs DolphinsBAL 23.8, MIA 16.8BAL 26.7, MIA 18.2BAL 59, MIA 10 Easy Expected win
Chiefs vs JaguarsKC 26.2, JAC 22.8KC 26.6, JAC 21.1KC 40, JAC 26 Easy Expected win
Titans vs BrownsCLE 24.8, TEN 19.2CLE 24.4, TEN 17.5TEN 43, CLE 13 Major Upset
Bengals vs SeahawksSEA 27.0, CIN 17.5SEA 29.2, CIN 19.2SEA 21, CIN 20 Expected Win
Colts vs ChargersLAC 25.5, IND 19.5LAC 24.6, IND 17.3LAC 30, IND 24 Expected Win
49ers vs BuccaneersTB 26.0, SF 25.0TB 27.1, SF 25.6SF 31, TB 17 Major Upset
Giants vs CowboysDAL 25.5, NYG 18.5DAL 25.8, NYG 17.8DAL 35, NYG 17 Easy Expected win
Steelers vs PatriotsNE 27.2, PIT 21.8NE 26.9, PIT 19.6NE 33, PIT 3 Easy Expected win
Texans vs SaintsNO 29.5, HOU 23.0NO 29.4, HOU 20.8NO 30, HOU 28 Expected Win
Broncos vs RaidersDEN 22.8, OAK 20.2DEN 24.2, OAK 21.9OAK 24, DEN 16 Major Upset