NFL Recap from Week 13: Filled With Surprising Upset Winners

SUMMARY: 7 Major Upsets, No Slight Upsets, 5 Easy Expected Wins

It was a week highlighted by upsets. The biggest upset of the week was the Washington Redskins beating the Carolina Panthers 29-21 despite being +10.5 underdogs. The computer simulation did not pick the Redskins to win but it did peg them as being the better value on the money line. The Buffalo Bills versus the Dallas Cowboys was also an upset. Buffalo won the game 26-15 and Vegas odds gave them a 28% chance of winning. There were multiple favorites, or even money teams, that won games by large margins. The Los Angeles Rams were -141 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Arizona Cardinals by 27 points.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Bears vs LionsCHI 21.2, DET 15.8CHI 19.7, DET 15.9CHI 24, DET 20 Expected Win
Bills vs CowboysDAL 26.8, BUF 20.2DAL 23.8, BUF 17.8BUF 26, DAL 15 Major Upset
Saints vs FalconsNO 27.5, ATL 20.5NO 31.9, ATL 20.3NO 26, ATL 18 Expected Win
49ers vs RavensBAL 25.2, SF 19.8BAL 27.5, SF 19.8BAL 20, SF 17 Expected Win
Redskins vs PanthersCAR 24.8, WAS 14.2CAR 27.2, WAS 17.2WAS 29, CAR 21 Major Upset
Jets vs BengalsNYJ 22.8, CIN 20.2NYJ 21.7, CIN 20.6CIN 22, NYJ 6 Major Upset
Titans vs ColtsTEN 21.2, IND 20.2IND 21.5, TEN 20.6TEN 31, IND 17 Easy Expected win
Buccaneers vs JaguarsTB 24.8, JAC 21.8JAC 26.5, TB 23.8TB 28, JAC 11 Easy Expected win
Raiders vs ChiefsKC 30.2, OAK 19.2KC 33.3, OAK 20.5KC 40, OAK 9 Easy Expected win
Eagles vs DolphinsPHI 27.5, MIA 17.5PHI 28.0, MIA 16.4MIA 37, PHI 31 Major Upset
Packers vs GiantsGB 25.0, NYG 18.5GB 25.3, NYG 18.9GB 31, NYG 13 Easy Expected win
Rams vs CardinalsLAR 25.0, ARI 22.5LAR 24.2, ARI 20.5LAR 34, ARI 7 Easy Expected win
Chargers vs BroncosLAC 21.5, DEN 17.0LAC 22.2, DEN 17.3DEN 23, LAC 20 Major Upset
Browns vs SteelersCLE 20.8, PIT 19.2PIT 19.7, CLE 19.6PIT 20, CLE 13 Major Upset
Patriots vs TexansNE 25.0, HOU 22.0NE 20.8, HOU 15.9HOU 28, NE 22 Major Upset
Vikings vs SeahawksSEA 25.5, MIN 23.0SEA 23.6, MIN 22.6SEA 37, MIN 30 Expected Win