NFL Recap from Week 18: A Solid Week for Underdogs

SUMMARY: 3 Major Upsets, No Slight Upsets, No Easy Expected Wins One Expected Win

Week 18, was notable for the upset wins. The biggest upset of the week was the Indianapolis Colts beating the Houston Texans 21-7 despite being +1.5 underdogs. The computer simulation did not pick the Colts to win but it did peg them as being the better value on the money line. The Los Angeles Chargers versus the Baltimore Ravens was also an upset. Los Angeles won the game 23-17 and Vegas odds gave them a 42% chance of winning. There was one favorite that won a game. The Dallas Cowboys were -139 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Seattle Seahawks by 2 points.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Colts vs TexansHOU 25.0, IND 23.5HOU 26.6, IND 25.2IND 21, HOU 7 Major Upset
Seahawks vs CowboysDAL 22.8, SEA 20.8DAL 22.7, SEA 22.5DAL 24, SEA 22 Expected Win
Chargers vs RavensBAL 23.0, LAC 20.0BAL 22.0, LAC 19.8LAC 23, BAL 17 Major Upset
Eagles vs BearsCHI 24.2, PHI 17.8CHI 22.7, PHI 20.0PHI 16, CHI 15 Major Upset