NFL Recap from Week 18: A Solid Week for Underdogs

SUMMARY: 3 Major Upsets, No Slight Upsets, No Easy Expected Wins One Expected Win

Week 18, was notable for the upset wins. The biggest upset of the week was the Minnesota Vikings beating the New Orleans Saints 26-20 despite the Saints being -7.5 favorites. The computer simulation did not pick the Vikings to win but it did peg them as being the better value on the money line. The Tennessee Titans versus the New England Patriots was also an upset. Tennessee won the game 20-13 and Vegas odds gave them a 34% chance of winning. There was one favorite that won a game. The Houston Texans were -143 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Buffalo Bills by 3 points.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Bills vs TexansHOU 22.8, BUF 20.2BUF 19.9, HOU 18.9HOU 22, BUF 19 Expected Win
Titans vs PatriotsNE 24.8, TEN 20.2NE 22.2, TEN 16.2TEN 20, NE 13 Major Upset
Vikings vs SaintsNO 28.5, MIN 21.0NO 28.2, MIN 22.2MIN 26, NO 20 Major Upset
Seahawks vs EaglesPHI 22.8, SEA 21.8PHI 23.1, SEA 22.1SEA 17, PHI 9 Major Upset