SUMMARY: 3 Major Upsets, No Slight Upsets, No Easy Expected Wins One Expected Win
Week 18, was notable for the upset wins. The biggest upset of the week was the Minnesota Vikings beating the New Orleans Saints 26-20 despite the Saints being -7.5 favorites. The computer simulation did not pick the Vikings to win but it did peg them as being the better value on the money line. The Tennessee Titans versus the New England Patriots was also an upset. Tennessee won the game 20-13 and Vegas odds gave them a 34% chance of winning. There was one favorite that won a game. The Houston Texans were -143 on the moneyline and ended up beating the Buffalo Bills by 3 points.
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|Bills vs Texans||HOU 22.8, BUF 20.2||BUF 19.9, HOU 18.9||HOU 22, BUF 19 Expected Win|
|Titans vs Patriots||NE 24.8, TEN 20.2||NE 22.2, TEN 16.2||TEN 20, NE 13 Major Upset|
|Vikings vs Saints||NO 28.5, MIN 21.0||NO 28.2, MIN 22.2||MIN 26, NO 20 Major Upset|
|Seahawks vs Eagles||PHI 22.8, SEA 21.8||PHI 23.1, SEA 22.1||SEA 17, PHI 9 Major Upset|