NFL Recap from Week 5: Filled With Surprising Upset Winners

SUMMARY: 6 Major Upsets, No Slight Upsets, 5 Easy Expected Wins

Week 5, was notable for the upset wins. The biggest upset of the week was the Indianapolis Colts beating the Kansas City Chiefs 19-13 despite the Chiefs being -10.5 favorites. The computer simulation did not pick the Colts to win but it did peg them as being the better value on the money line. The Green Bay Packers versus the Dallas Cowboys was also an upset. Green Bay won the game 34-24 and Vegas odds gave them a 36% chance of winning. There were multiple favorites, or even money teams, that won games by large margins. The Minnesota Vikings were -247 on the moneyline and ended up beating the New York Giants by 18 points.

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GAMEVEGAS EXPECTATIONPROJECTIONACTUAL
Rams vs SeahawksSEA 25.2, LAR 23.8LAR 25.5, SEA 25.5SEA 30, LAR 29 Expected Win
Cardinals vs BengalsCIN 24.8, ARI 21.8CIN 22.4, ARI 22.1ARI 26, CIN 23 Major Upset
Falcons vs TexansHOU 27.0, ATL 23.0HOU 24.7, ATL 19.7HOU 53, ATL 32 Easy Expected win
Buccaneers vs SaintsNO 24.8, TB 21.8NO 25.4, TB 21.2NO 31, TB 24 Expected Win
Vikings vs GiantsMIN 24.8, NYG 18.8MIN 21.6, NYG 16.1MIN 28, NYG 10 Easy Expected win
Jaguars vs PanthersCAR 22.0, JAC 18.5CAR 21.9, JAC 20.3CAR 34, JAC 27 Expected Win
Bears vs RaidersCHI 23.2, OAK 16.8CHI 22.9, OAK 12.7OAK 24, CHI 21 Major Upset
Patriots vs RedskinsNE 29.2, WAS 12.8NE 28.7, WAS 12.5NE 33, WAS 7 Easy Expected win
Bills vs TitansTEN 21.2, BUF 18.2TEN 19.4, BUF 14.5BUF 14, TEN 7 Major Upset
Jets vs EaglesPHI 28.5, NYJ 14.5PHI 28.4, NYJ 14.8PHI 31, NYJ 6 Easy Expected win
Ravens vs SteelersBAL 23.5, PIT 20.5BAL 23.5, PIT 22.1BAL 26, PIT 23 Expected Win
Broncos vs ChargersLAC 25.0, DEN 20.5LAC 28.2, DEN 18.2DEN 20, LAC 13 Major Upset
Packers vs CowboysDAL 25.0, GB 21.5DAL 23.8, GB 18.8GB 34, DAL 24 Major Upset
Colts vs ChiefsKC 33.2, IND 22.8KC 32.3, IND 20.8IND 19, KC 13 Major Upset
Browns vs 49ersSF 26.2, CLE 21.2SF 26.0, CLE 23.1SF 31, CLE 3 Easy Expected win