NFL Week 13 Picks: Seattle Seahawks Slight Favorites vs Visiting Vikings

Monday, December 02, 2019

Minnesota Vikings vs Seattle Seahawks

The simulations have this as an even matchup, while the Vegas odds favor the Seahawks. The projected score is Seahawks 24 and Vikings 22, and Seattle is winning 52% of simulations. The Seahawks are -148 favorites to win which has an implied probability of 60 percent. Bettors seem to be favoring the Vikings since the moneyline is moving in their 'direction'. Seattle won their lone matchup in recent seasons 21 to 7. The projection based point spread is SEA -1. With more action on the Vikings, oddsmakers have moved the line from +3 to +2.5. Coming into this game as a favorite, the Seahawks are 7-8-1. As an underdog, the Vikings are 4-6-1. In their last match-up (SEA won by 14) Seattle covered the spread. The Seahawks were -3 favorites.

EXPECTATIONSODDSVEGASPROJML%SIM%PAST H2H
Minnesota Vikings5023.822.443%47%7.0 (0 Wins)
Seattle Seahawks-2.526.223.557%52%21.0 (1 Win)

VEGAS is the expected score based on the point spread and over/under, PROJ is the average score from computer simulations, ML% is the implied probability of the money lines adjusted for the juice, SIM% is the percentage of simulations each team won, PAST H2H is the average score from recent head to head matchups

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