Philadelphia Eagles Have a 3.3% Chance of Winning the Super Bowl

2019 SEASON PROJECTION

Their neutral win simulation percentage indicates that the Eagles are expected to have a similar record next season as they did last. Their odds (20/1) implied probability of winning the Super Bowl is 4.8%. Their simulation based probability is 3.3%. They have a a 3.3 percent chance of being conference champs. Their odds are 10/1, 9.1%.

REGULAR SEASON RECAP

Their 9 wins in 2018 did not meet expectations. It was 0 below what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went as expected. Their 62.5% home win percentage was as expected (64.8%). They won 50% on the road which was as expected (47.7%). Anyone who backed the Eagles in all of their games on the money line would have earned a +349 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. Against the spread, they have lost -390 units risking 110 to win 100 (6-9 ATS). Below is a recap of all 16 regular games.

They are a below average scoring team based on points per game. They are the #16 ranked team based on yards per play and the #15 ranked team based on offensive TD per play. They are an above average scoring defense, despite a relatively low yards per play allowed rank.

Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games22.9 - 21.89-7, +3496-9, -3907-9 56.2% Under
On Road23.2 - 23.04-4, +2724-4, -405-3 62.5% Over
At Home22.6 - 20.55-3, -92-5, -3502-6 75% Under
12/30 @WAS24-0Win +38Covered -6Under 42
12/23 HOU32-30Win +77ATS Push -2Over 47
12/16 @LAR30-23Win +510Covered +13Over 52
12/9 @DAL23-29Loss -100ATS Loss +3.5Over 45.5
12/3 WAS28-13Win +38Covered -5.5Under 45
11/25 NYG25-22Win +45ATS Loss -4.5Under 49.5
11/18 @NO7-48Loss -100ATS Loss +7Under 56.5
11/11 DAL20-27Loss -100ATS Loss -7.5Over 45.5
10/28 @JAC24-18Win +47Covered -4Under 44.5
10/21 CAR17-21Loss -100ATS Loss -5Under 45
10/11 @NYG34-13Win +77Covered -1.5Over 44.5
10/7 MIN21-23Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 48.5
9/30 @TEN23-26Loss -100ATS Loss -3Over 41.5
9/23 IND20-16Win +36ATS Loss -6.5Under 45
9/16 @TB21-27Loss -100ATS Loss -3Over 46.5
9/6 ATL18-12Win +95Covered PKUnder 44.5

TEAM OFFENSE (League Rank):

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 16 Games22.9 (#18)4.1% (#15)6.1 (#16)283 (#8)7.6 (#12)98 (#28)3.9 (#30)1.4 (#20)
On the Road23.2 (#13)4.5% (#11)6.0 (#17)268 (#13)7.3 (#15)98 (#26)4.0 (#24)1.4 (#13)
At Home22.6 (#19)3.7% (#21)6.2 (#10)298 (#6)7.8 (#12)99 (#26)3.9 (#30)1.5 (#21)
Last 4 Games27.2 (#3)5.3% (#3)6.2 (#8)303 (#2)8.2 (#3)83 (#28)3.3 (#30)1.5 (#14)

TEAM DEFENSE:

SITUATIONPTS/GTD/PLAYYPPPASSYDYPARUSHYDYPCTO/GAME
Past 16 Games21.8 (#12)3.8% (#11)6.4 (#24)289 (#30)7.4 (#14)97 (#7)4.7 (#21)1.1 (#22)
Road Games23.0 (#15)3.9% (#16)6.5 (#29)322 (#31)7.8 (#23)94 (#5)4.1 (#9)1.5 (#9)
Home Games20.5 (#11)3.6% (#11)6.3 (#13)255 (#19)6.8 (#11)100 (#9)5.4 (#31)0.6 (#31)
Last 4 Games20.5 (#15)3.4% (#11)5.9 (#30)308 (#32)7.0 (#17)77 (#4)3.6 (#5)2.0 (#2)
Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games22.9 - 21.89-7, +3496-9, -3907-9 56.2% Under
On Road23.2 - 23.04-4, +2724-4, -405-3 62.5% Over
At Home22.6 - 20.55-3, -92-5, -3502-6 75% Under
12/30 @WAS24-0Win +38Covered -6Under 42
12/23 HOU32-30Win +77ATS Push -2Over 47
12/16 @LAR30-23Win +510Covered +13Over 52
12/9 @DAL23-29Loss -100ATS Loss +3.5Over 45.5
12/3 WAS28-13Win +38Covered -5.5Under 45
11/25 NYG25-22Win +45ATS Loss -4.5Under 49.5
11/18 @NO7-48Loss -100ATS Loss +7Under 56.5
11/11 DAL20-27Loss -100ATS Loss -7.5Over 45.5
10/28 @JAC24-18Win +47Covered -4Under 44.5
10/21 CAR17-21Loss -100ATS Loss -5Under 45
10/11 @NYG34-13Win +77Covered -1.5Over 44.5
10/7 MIN21-23Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 48.5
9/30 @TEN23-26Loss -100ATS Loss -3Over 41.5
9/23 IND20-16Win +36ATS Loss -6.5Under 45
9/16 @TB21-27Loss -100ATS Loss -3Over 46.5
9/6 ATL18-12Win +95Covered PKUnder 44.5