Philadelphia Eagles Have a 5.6% Chance of Winning the Championship

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The Eagles are +8 point underdogs. They are +329 to win based on the money line which carries a 'juice adjusted' implied probability of 22.8%. The oddsmakers have set the over/under at 51.5 points. If you extrapolate the spread and total lines you get a Vegas expected score of Eagles 21.8 and Saints 29.8. The Sportsline game simulations favor the Saints.


Their chances of then winning the NFC is 13.8%. They have 5.6% chance of winning the Super Bowl.

The following is the percentage of simulations the Eagles win against the rest of the remaining playoff teams.

  • Underdog vs the Chiefs winning 31.3%
  • Underdog vs the Patriots winning 34.6%
  • Underdog vs the Rams winning 36.2%
  • Underdog vs the Chargers winning 48.2%
  • Favored vs the Cowboys by 52.3%
  • Favored vs the Colts by 50.1%

They are an average team in points per game. Offensively, they are the #15 ranked team in yards per play. They are the #18 ranked team in offensive TD rate [(PassTD + RushTD) / (Pass Att + Rush Att)]. Despite being a bottom 10 team in yards per play allowed they are an average team in points allowed per game. They are the #13 ranked defense in opponents' TD rate (passing and rushing TDs per offensive play).

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Season RecapPPG-PAMoney LineATS RecordO/U Record
All Games22.9 - 21.89-7, +3496-9, -3907-9 56.2% Under
On Road23.2 - 23.04-4, +2724-4, -405-3 62.5% Over
At Home22.6 - 20.55-3, -92-5, -3502-6 75% Under
12/30 @WAS24-0Win +38Covered -6Under 42
12/23 HOU32-30Win +77ATS Push -2Over 47
12/16 @LAR30-23Win +510Covered +13Over 52
12/9 @DAL23-29Loss -100ATS Loss +3.5Over 45.5
12/3 WAS28-13Win +38Covered -5.5Under 45
11/25 NYG25-22Win +45ATS Loss -4.5Under 49.5
11/18 @NO7-48Loss -100ATS Loss +7Under 56.5
11/11 DAL20-27Loss -100ATS Loss -7.5Over 45.5
10/28 @JAC24-18Win +47Covered -4Under 44.5
10/21 CAR17-21Loss -100ATS Loss -5Under 45
10/11 @NYG34-13Win +77Covered -1.5Over 44.5
10/7 MIN21-23Loss -100ATS Loss -3.5Under 48.5
9/30 @TEN23-26Loss -100ATS Loss -3Over 41.5
9/23 IND20-16Win +36ATS Loss -6.5Under 45
9/16 @TB21-27Loss -100ATS Loss -3Over 46.5
9/6 ATL18-12Win +95Covered PKUnder 44.5