Sammy Watkins (#48 Projected Rank) is Going to Have a Below Average Start

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WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

We are projecting a slightly below average week for Sammy Watkins where he is projected to be the #51 wide receiver, slightly under his rest of season ranking of #48. He is not projected to live up to his market expectation where he is the #31 wide receiver based on ownership. Most fantasy players have roughly 30% of their weekly projections deviate significantly from their season average, but he is projected to be more volatile than most. Unfortunately for owners, he is only projected to have one really exceptionally great week, but is projected for 2 bad ones.

WEEKFPRANKPROJECTION (Bold = Good, Italic = Bad)
WK 10 to 16 Totals55#4828 Rec, 374 Yd, 2.5 Td, 41 Tar, 27 Rushyd, 0.03 Td, 0.09 Fl
WK 10 ARI6.0#513.2 Rec, 41 Yd, 0.27 Td, 4.7 Tar, 3.4 Rushyd, 0 Td, 0.01 Fl
WK 11 @LAR7.8#364.1 Rec, 54 Yd, 0.34 Td, 6 Tar, 4.1 Rushyd, 0 Td, 0.02 Fl
WK 13 @OAK9.7#174.5 Rec, 64 Yd, 0.47 Td, 6.1 Tar, 4.2 Rushyd, 0 Td, 0.01 Fl
WK 14 BAL7.1#494 Rec, 48 Yd, 0.33 Td, 6 Tar, 3.5 Rushyd, 0 Td, 0.01 Fl
WK 15 LAC7.3#444.1 Rec, 51 Yd, 0.3 Td, 6.1 Tar, 3.9 Rushyd, 0 Td, 0.01 Fl
WK 16 @SEA7.7#364.1 Rec, 53 Yd, 0.33 Td, 6 Tar, 4.3 Rushyd, 0 Td, 0.02 Fl

EXPERT RANKINGS (WEEK)

The Scout projections have a lower ranking than the market, and of the 3 experts, one has a higher rank and two have a lower rank. The expert consensus rank is #27. The experts rank him behind Devin Funchess and ahead of Tyler Lockett. The projections agree that Watkins should be ranked behind Funchess, but the projections rank Lockett above Watkins. He has the same expert consensus ranking in PPR leagues.

RANKPROJECTIONDAVE RICHARDJAMEY EISENBERGHEATH CUMMINGS
Higher#18
Market #27------------------------------------------------------------
Lower#51#33#29
PPR RANKPROJECTIONDAVE RICHARDJAMEY EISENBERGHEATH CUMMINGS
Higher#20
Market #27------------------------------------------------------------
Lower#52#36#28

DAILY FANTASY VALUE (DRAFTKINGS & FANDUEL)

Based on dollar value, he is the #32 least valuable option at wide receiver on DraftKings. He is priced at $5.4K and at this price he is expected to have 14.7 points on DraftKings. With a projection of 9.3 he is worth -1984 dollars under this price. He reached his expected point total of 14.7 DraftKings points 7 times (20%). He is 17-18 reaching his projected point total of 9.3. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other wide receivers that are projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Doug Baldwin (10.7 FP), Allen Robinson (9.5 FP), Golden Tate (10.9 FP), Jordy Nelson (10.4 FP), and Amari Cooper (14 FP) are all better options. He is projected for 7.6 FanDuel points and based on his $6.6K price he is expected to put up at least 12.3 points. He is worth -2522 dollars less than his salary. He reached his expected point total of 12.3 FanDuel points 8 times (23%). He is 17-18 reaching his projected point total of 7.6. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other wide receivers that are projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Doug Baldwin (8.7 FP), Jordy Nelson (8.3 FP), Jarvis Landry (12 FP), Larry Fitzgerald (9.6 FP), and Robby Anderson (8.3 FP) are all better options.

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REST OF SEASON FANTASY VALUE

He is not expected to live up to high expectations based on our latest projections. Owned in 93% of CBS Fantasy leagues the market ranks him as the #31 wide receiver but his projection based rank is #48 with an average of 7.8 fantasy points per week. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other wide receivers that are projected for more points that may be available via trade or off the waiver wire. Doug Baldwin (57 FP), Jordy Nelson (55 FP), Larry Fitzgerald (57 FP), Michael Crabtree (57 FP), and Devin Funchess (57 FP) are all better options than Sammy Watkins. Both his market rank and projected rank are the same in PPR leagues as they are in standard leagues. Based on projected weekly average Sammy Watkins is the #37 ranked wide receiver.

KEY STATSRECRECYDRUSHYDTOUCHDOWNSFP
Projected Average per Game 4.153.43.90.37.8
Actual Avg Since Last Season3.043.52.00.47.1
Lower Own%S. Watkins ROSHigher Own%
D. Baldwin (58 FP)55 FPD. Thomas (50 FP)
J. Nelson (55 FP)#31 Wide Reciever 
L. Fitzgerald (57 FP) 
 
M. Crabtree (57 FP) 
 
D. Funchess (57 FP) 
 

Make sure you visit Sportsline for picks against the spread, on totals and the money line by the computer and top handicappers.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2016 TO 2018)

With 9 games played this season Watkins is the #24 ranked WR. He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking vs 2017. He is stronger in certain categories which are bolded below.

2016-2018FPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (32 Games)2371061538131765200
WR Rank#40#58#48#25#58#26#278#1
Average Stats7.43.348.10.415.51.600
WR Rank (Averages)#41#70#54#24#70#36#1#1
2018 & SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (9 Games)75395153545200
WR Rank#24#25#25#27#31#7#209#1
Average Stats8.34.357.20.3365.800
WR Rank (Averages)#35#37#33#47#44#12#1#1
2017 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (15 Games)10739593870000
WR Rank#33#63#51#7#59#212#212#1
Average Stats7.22.639.50.534.7000
WR Rank (Averages)#38#74#60#12#72#1#1#1
2016 SeasonFPRECRECYDRECTDRECTARGETRUSHYDRUSHTDFUML
Stats (8 Games)5528430252000
WR Rank#84#86#79#77#82#167#167#1
Average Stats6.93.553.80.256.5000
WR Rank (Averages)#50#58#41#57#50#1#1#1
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