Saquon Barkley (#3 Projected Rank) is Worth Less than You Think

REST OF SEASON FANTASY VALUE

The market (owners) expects him to be the #1 best fantasy running back and our projection model has him slightly worse (#3). He is projected to average 18.6 fantasy points per week and is owned in 100% of CBS leagues. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other running backs that are projected for more points that may be available via trade or off the waiver wire. Todd Gurley (84 FP) and Ezekiel Elliott (76 FP) are better options for Saquon Barkley owners. Both his market rank and projected rank are the same in PPR leagues as they are in standard leagues.

KEY STATSRUSHRUSHYDRECYDTOUCHDOWNSFP
Projected Average per Game 18.478.251.01.018.6
Actual Avg Since Last Season16.186.548.41.019.6

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DAILY FANTASY VALUE (FANDUEL & DRAFTKINGS)

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WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

He is projected to be the #3 running back this week and for the rest of the season. He is not projected to live up to his market expectation where he is the #1 running back based on ownership. Most fantasy players have roughly 30% of their weekly projections deviate significantly from their season average, but he is projected to be more stable and consistent than most.

WEEKFPRANKPROJECTION
WK 14 to 16 Totals75#374 Rush, 313 Yd, 2.6 Td, 25 Rec, 204 Yd, 1.29 Td, 0.29 Fl
WK 14 @WAS18.0#317.6 Rush, 76 Yd, 0.57 Td, 5.9 Rec, 51 Yd, 0.33 Td, 0.09 Fl
WK 15 TEN19.0#218.8 Rush, 81 Yd, 0.67 Td, 6.2 Rec, 50 Yd, 0.32 Td, 0.06 Fl
WK 16 @IND19.4#418.3 Rush, 76 Yd, 0.71 Td, 6.6 Rec, 55 Yd, 0.35 Td, 0.07 Fl

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2018)

With 13 games played this season Barkley is the #2 ranked RB. He is relatively stronger (stats bolded below) than weaker in more categories.

2018 & SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (13 Games)255209112497862940
RB Rank#2#4#3#4#2#4#6#1
Average Stats19.616.186.50.69648.40.310
RB Rank (Averages)#3#9#3#8#2#4#9#1