Wendell Smallwood: A Young Player on the Rise

2018 FANTASY RECAP WITH DOWNWARD TREND PROJECTED FOR 2019

Wendell Smallwood was not a fantasy star but was worth starting most weeks. He was the number #42 ranked RB and the #218 ranked player overall. Even though he missed a few games he played enough so that his overall fantasy rank was better than what it was based on average fantasy points (#56 RB). He showed improvement from his start of the season to the middle of his season, but then his production dropped off. In his middle 6 games he averaged 6.6 fantasy points which was higher than his start (5.5 FP) and his ending average (5.9 FP). He is still relatively young, so his late season drop-off should not be an indicator of an overall downward trend heading into next season. Using standard deviation as an indicator of consistency, Smallwood is relatively inconsistent capable of very high highs and equally low lows. Our projected ceiling for Smallwood when he 'goes off' is 18 fantasy points (his average is 6.1FPs). Wendell Smallwood (2019 Season Projection: 101 Rush, 400 Yards, 3.1 TDs, 26 Rec, 230 Yards, 1.6 TDs) is projected to take a significant step downward in the upcoming fantasy season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #52 player at his position.

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

He has demonstrated the solid year-to-year improvement that you look for in a younger player. His three season trend show an increase of 69% in fantasy points per game.

SEASON TREND201820172016
Fantasy Points913843
FP Average6.14.73.6
Regular Season GP15812

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

Wendell Smallwood played in 15 games in 2018. He was the #42 ranked fantasy RB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 6 FP per game (#55 ranked based on average). He is relatively stronger (stats bolded below) than weaker in more categories.

2017-2018FPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (23 Games)12313453844133321
RB Rank#62#64#66#54#46#47#26#31
Average Stats5.45.823.40.171.814.50.090
RB Rank (Averages)#78#82#86#74#60#61#42#45
2018 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (15 Games)898736432823021
RB Rank#42#53#53#38#32#31#17#33
Average Stats65.824.30.21.915.30.130.1
RB Rank (Averages)#55#69#70#56#46#47#27#40
2017 SeasonFPRUSHRUSHYDRUSHTDRECRECYDRECTDFUML
Stats (8 Games)344717411310300
RB Rank#83#75#77#64#70#70#166#1
Average Stats4.25.921.80.121.612.900
RB Rank (Averages)#75#70#73#67#63#62#1#1

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 7.8 FD points and 8.8 DK points per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was -0.4 and on FanDuel it was -0.4 fantasy points. He had a relatively high ceiling. On DraftKings it was 18.1 and on FanDuel it was 16.6 FPs. He has had more bad FanDuel games (below average by 20%) than good games (20% above average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

GameFD Pts (Sal)Good or BadDK Pts (Sal)Good or Bad
All7.8 ($5.1K)4 G, 7 B8.8 ($3.4K)4 G, 7 B
12/30 @WAS9.7--11.7--
12/23 HOU4.7 ($4.7K)-3.16.7 ($3K)-2.1
12/16 @LAR18.7 ($4.7K)+10.919.7 ($3K)+10.9
12/9 @DAL0.3 ($4.7K)-7.50.3 ($3K)-8.5
11/18 @NO-0.4 ($5.5K)-8.2-0.4 ($3.6K)-9.2
11/11 DAL4.9 ($5.8K)-2.96.4 ($3.4K)-2.4
10/28 @JAC13.6 ($5.8K)+5.814.6 ($4.1K)+5.8
10/21 CAR4.7 ($5.8K)-3.15.7 ($4.1K)-3.1
10/11 @NYG5.6 ($5.1K)-2.26.1 ($4.1K)-2.7
10/7 MIN16.6 ($5.1K)+8.818.1 ($3.5K)+9.3
9/30 @TEN6.9 ($5.5K)--8.4 ($3.6K)--
9/23 IND16.6 ($4.5K)+8.818.1 ($3K)+9.3
9/16 @TB1.5 ($4.5K)-6.32 ($3K)-6.8