headshot
Patrick
Mahomes
College Texas Tech
Team Kansas City Chiefs
15QB
6'3"Height
230Weight
24Age
4Exp
12Bye
Patrick Mahomes's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Based on our latest projection, you can expect Patrick Mahomes to be an elite fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 445 projected fantasy points puts him ahead of Deshaun Watson making him our #1 ranked quarterback. He has averaged 32.32 fantasy points in his past 16 games, which is more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 27.8 fantasy points. His rank based on average projected points is the same as his rank based on total fantasy points. He is owned in 100% of fantasy leagues so everyone expects him to be an elite quarterback. He is projected to live up to these high expectations. Last season he was also the #1 ranked quarterback.

These projections power SportsLine's Computer Picks and Fantasy Data. But for contest winning DFS optimal lineups by top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Daily Fantasy Hub.

PATRICK MAHOMES WEEK 1 AND 2 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Patrick Mahomes is projected for 23.7 fantasy points which is good enough to be the #4 ranked quarterback and a must start for most owners. This is projected to be a below average week with fewer fantasy points than he is projected to average the rest of the season. He is ranked above Carson Wentz but behind Drew Brees. Week 2 is projected to be slightly better based on projected rank (#1). He is projected for 33.9 fantasy points.

PATRICK MAHOMES IS A BAD DFS VALUE ON FANDUEL AT $8.7K AND DRAFTKINGS AT $7.2K

He is projected for 20.4 FanDuel points and 21.8 points on DraftKings. Based on the player pool average points per dollar he is coming up -$588 short of $8.7K on FanDuel and -$853 short of $7.2K on DraftKings. There should be much better options (see below). Barring a significant lineup change consider him a daily fantasy player to fade. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINTTKLD20+40+RATE
2019KC141448431965.940318.33832651275015105.3
2018KC161658038366.050978.798950121717515113.8
2017KC11352262.92848.115101152176.4
Career (3 Seasons)3131109972465.994128.5689761831312731108.9
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2019KC1414432185.0725215
2018KC1616602724.5328218
2017KC117101.43500
Career (3 Seasons)31311105004.5528433
2019 Situational Stats
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
DECEMBER GAMES5516110766.512237.648736056.112695.821773.72
NOVEMBER GAMES22825567.16287.6663412952.773101.155911.80
OCTOBER GAMES338551606707.88525126519599.65183.60
SEPTEMBER GAMES4415610667.915109.68831006157.5223120.412645.30
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
MONDAY GAMES11321959.41825.693111947.42172.755911.80
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)11111090.9766.91211033010125.81220
SUNDAY GAMES121244129065.837738.568324416456.64716106.9371574.22
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
WINS111136024267.229918.3183194133553710105.7392025.22
LOSSES331247762.110408.3963714355.8137104.241640
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
HOME GAMES6619912663.316578.33831136954.82010101.721823.91
ROAD GAMES8828519367.723748.336815210755.4307107.8221366.21
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
Arrowhead Stadium6619912663.316578.33831136954.82010101.721823.91
Empower Field at Mile High11111090.9766.91211033010125.81220
Estadio Azteca (Mexico City)11321959.41825.693111947.42172.755911.80
Ford Field11422457.13157.533001666.7408165490
Gillette Stadium114026652837.08481113504183.66610
Nissan Stadium115036724468.9263302055.652119.300---0
Oakland Coliseum11443068.244310.074440186082131.21-1-10
Soldier Field11332369.72517.6119201565.201112.121471
TIAA Bank Field11332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
vs Baltimore Ravens1137277337410.1183301451.941132492.30
vs Chicago Bears11332369.72517.6119201565.201112.121471
vs Denver Broncos22453782.24169.2441312054.153118.14133.30
vs Detroit Lions11422457.13157.533001666.7408165490
vs Houston Texans11351954.32737.852311157.92196.51-1-10
vs Indianapolis Colts11392256.43218.2331101254.56491.93175.70
vs Jacksonville Jaguars11332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
vs Los Angeles Chargers22573561.43566.25472214405176.412806.70
vs New England Patriots114026652837.08481113504183.66610
vs Tennessee Titans115036724468.9263302055.652119.300---0
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)331076459.88457.952613859.48699.663051
COLD WEATHER <= 40441288465.69727.5948534553.612591.719633.31
HOT WEATHER >= 8011332575.837811.456830135260143.21220
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)5517412270.115218.74831216452.5206117.511696.30
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
INDOOR GAMES11422457.13157.533001666.7408165490
OUTDOOR GAMES131344229566.737168.418326516054.24617107.6371644.42
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES228250615987.29481129588182.3126050
ON GRASS FIELDS121240226966.934338.548325414754.64216110311585.12
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
MARGIN 0-77727517362.921947.98831239554.9271097.8251445.80
MARGIN 15+5515110569.512858.51471016360147114.810515.12
MARGIN 8-1422584170.75529.5268411843.990116.58232.90
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FIRST HALF SEASON7724115765.121809.05831518755.4318113.117824.80
SECOND HALF SEASON7724316266.718517.62631148954.919997.6261365.22
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION8830920265.426418.558316211456.43110106.7231014.41
VS OWN DIVISION6617511766.913907.94471036253197102.8201175.91
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
VS AFC TEAMS121240927266.534658.478324514553.34616107.3351504.31
VS NFC TEAMS22754762.75667.55332031664194.68688.51
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF005936614467.5639302158.355101.415110.70
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE00562951.82063.68181112172.40492.77456.42
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 700432455.83788.7963101354.2639312373.10
FOURTH DOWN001110010101000110000108.33175.70
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS001297961.29887.664862455716494.174970
FIRST DOWN0020113768.217058.48831316245.3215113.715362.41
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0017012372.414728.66491215645.5218119.513201.50
OVERTIME0000---0---0000---00---00---0
TIED00795367.16778.5768602750.9831198394.91
vs Oakland Raiders22734561.66188.4747502862.293111.642461
THIRD DOWN001157262.610969.5368915373.6168116.49108121
SECOND DOWN0016710965.312207.314843605513487.416573.60
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE00483266.748410.0883101340.662106.68607.50
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE0021013564.318698.968238663.72339015936.20
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS00159601369.074410555.631112.123919.50
BEHIND001448861.111247.8148725056.819595.99889.80
3RD QUARTER001047269.27297.01475136507110174260
4TH QUARTER007945576358.0463312964.49590.419623.30
2ND QUARTER0016410966.515069.18831016256.9209113.59323.61
2ND HALF0018311763.913647.4563826555.616696.42610440
1ST HALF0030120267.126678.8683183111553411110.7171146.72
1ST QUARTER001379367.911618.4768824952.7142107.388210.31
AHEAD0026117868.222308.54831339955.6239106.326913.51
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS001248366.911849.5583724655.4154109.713483.71
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30001248165.311179.0147714758160109.500---0
ATTEMPTS 31+00895460.75886.6163512953.77094.200---0
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-20001318766.411078.4583615259.8100104.700---0
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-10001409769.312198.7168824849.5170109.2432185.12
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS00886573.97198.1739503756.932116.69333.70
AS STARTER0000---0---0000---00---00---0
OVERALL141448431965.940318.338326517655.25017105.3432185.12
2019 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTPAATTPACMPPAYDPATDPAINTSACYLSRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDFL
109/08@JACW40-2633253783000122.00200
209/15@OAKW28-10443044340201-1-1.00-101
309/22BALW33-2837273743010492.251100
409/29@DETW34-30422431500006549.002500
510/06INDL19-13392232110403175.671400
610/13HOUL31-24351927331101-1-1.00-101
710/17@DENW30-61110761000122.00200
*810/27GBL31-240000000000000
*911/03MINW26-230000000000000
1011/10@TENL35-3250364463020000000
1111/18@LACW24-173219182111055911.802400
1312/01OAKW40-9291517510103258.331310
1412/08@NEW23-1640262831110661.00500
1512/15DENW23-3342734021303113.67700
1612/22@CHIW26-3332325120102147.001210
1712/29LACW31-21251617411007213.001100
* Indicates player did not play that week