headshot
Adrian
Peterson
College Oklahoma
Team Washington Redskins
26RB
6'1"Height
220Weight
33Age
11Exp
4Bye
Adrian Peterson's Fantasy Scouting Report

REST OF SEASON FANTASY VALUE

The market (owners) expects him to be the #14 best fantasy running back and our projection model has him slightly worse (#16). He is owned in 100 percent of CBS leagues and are projected to average 11 FPs. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other running backs that are projected for more points that may be available via trade or off the waiver wire. Marlon Mack (85 FP), Aaron Jones (100 FP), Nick Chubb (95 FP), and Phillip Lindsay (79 FP) are all better options than Adrian Peterson. His value goes down in PPR leagues. Adrian Peterson is ranked as the #23 running back with a 12.5 projected fantasy average.

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WEEKLY FANTASY VALUE

We are projecting a below average week for Adrian Peterson where he is projected to be the #21 running back, well under his rest of season ranking of #16. He is not projected to live up to his market expectation where he is the #14 running back based on ownership. Most fantasy players have roughly 30% of their weekly projections deviate significantly from their season average, but he is projected to be more stable and consistent than most. Unfortunately for owners, he is not projected to have any really relatively great weeks, but is projected for one bad one.

EXPERT RANKINGS (WEEK)

The Scout projections have a lower ranking than the market, and of the 3 experts, one has a higher rank and two have a lower rank. The expert consensus rank is #20. The experts rank him above Phillip Lindsay but the projections disagree. He has the same expert consensus ranking in PPR leagues.

DAILY FANTASY VALUE (DRAFTKINGS & FANDUEL)

He is projected for 11.6 DraftKings points and based on his $5.5K price he is expected to put up at least 15.2 points. He is worth -1303 dollars less than his salary. He reached his expected point total of 15.2 DraftKings points 5 times (19%). He is 7-19 reaching his projected point total of 11.6. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other running backs that are projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Mark Ingram (14 FP), Lamar Miller (12.7 FP), Jordan Howard (11.7 FP), Tevin Coleman (14.1 FP), and Tarik Cohen (12.7 FP) are all better options. Based on salary ($6.3K) he is expected to put up around 13 fantasy points, but his latest FanDuel projection is for 10.1 points (a -1329 dollar value). He reached his expected point total of 12.8 FanDuel points 5 times (19%). He is 7-19 reaching his projected point total of 10.1. With a lower than expected projection rank there are other running backs that are projected for more points with the same or lower salary. Dion Lewis (11.5 FP) and Kerryon Johnson (11.4 FP) are better options.

For contest winning DFS optimal lineups by our advanced computer projection and top experts like Mike McClure visit SportsLine's new Fantasy Hub.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2016 TO 2018)

With 9 games played this season Peterson is the #11 ranked RB. He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking vs 2017. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2018WAS991556724.3464431
2017ARI1071565293.3927220
2016MIN3337721.951303
2015MIN161632714854.54801171
2014MIN1121753.571703
2013MIN141427912664.50781059
2012MIN161634820976.00821285
2011MIN12122099734.70541249
2010MIN151528312984.60801270
2009MIN161531513894.40641874
2008MIN161536417574.80671081
2007MIN14923813415.60731262
Career (12 Seasons)1421322729129484.7482103608
YEARTEAMGGSRECYDSAVGLGTD20+40+1ST
2018WAS991416812.00521316
2017ARI10711706.36130003
2016MIN33382.6770000
2015MIN1616302227.40490118
2014MIN112189.0090001
2013MIN1414291715.902211011
2012MIN1616402175.402011010
2011MIN1212181397.70221205
2010MIN1515363419.503415017
2009MIN16154343610.106305216
2008MIN1615211256.00160004
2007MIN1491926814.106013113
Career (12 Seasons)14213226621838.2163621594
2018 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
NOVEMBER GAMES22885351805173.400
OCTOBER GAMES4713514.91564145112.811
SEPTEMBER GAMES3562364.21141351002000
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MONDAY GAMES1461.51402361800
SUNDAY GAMES81516664.430644121321111
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
WINS61316294.82864468614.311
LOSSES324431.8314088210.300
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
HOME GAMES5803534.4184127547.700
ROAD GAMES4753194.313642711416.311
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FedExField5803534.4184127547.700
Mercedes-Benz Superdome1461.51402361800
MetLife Stadium1261495.7464117711
Raymond James Stadium119683.64180210.500
State Farm Stadium126963.741712703500
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
vs Arizona Cardinals126963.741712703500
vs Atlanta Falcons19171.911103165.300
vs Carolina Panthers117975.7419000---00
vs Dallas Cowboys124994.1623018800
vs Green Bay Packers1191206.3641200---00
vs Indianapolis Colts111201.811403301000
vs New Orleans Saints1461.51402361800
vs New York Giants1261495.7464117711
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers119683.64180210.500
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)4763624.8156415316.211
HOT WEATHER >= 80119683.64180210.500
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)2301404.774123301000
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
INDOOR GAMES2301023.45171410626.500
OUTDOOR GAMES71255704.62664310626.211
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES2301555.2564134314.311
ON GRASS FIELDS71255174.1264131112511.400
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MARGIN 0-73673455.1146412157.511
MARGIN 15+3391193.16171712217.400
MARGIN 8-143492084.2114125316.200
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FIRST HALF SEASON81366044.4276441216713.911
SECOND HALF SEASON119683.64180210.500
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION71054244214131215312.800
VS OWN DIVISION2502485106412157.511
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
VS AFC TEAMS111201.811403301000
VS NFC TEAMS81446524.5306441113812.511
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 70161459.1564100---00
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF0540.81211525200
FOURTH DOWN000---00000---00
FIRST DOWN01104263.91441166510.800
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS010121.211101242400
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS011232.121406559.200
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE023291.34932157.511
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0411804.41020000---00
THIRD DOWN07202.951111525200
TIED029144572303144.711
SECOND DOWN0382265.9126427517.311
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE0693995.81564110999.900
OVERTIME000---00000---00
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE022642.921802542700
BEHIND023391.7314088210.300
ATTEMPTS 31+000---00000---00
3RD QUARTER0431393.262302115.500
4TH QUARTER0402325.886411525200
2ND QUARTER0281304.6741246516.300
2ND HALF0833714.5146413632100
1ST HALF0723014.217413111059.511
1ST QUARTER0441713.9101617405.711
AHEAD01034894.7216443722400
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS0602654.41464312200
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-200562414.31223200---00
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30016895.6164100---00
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-100833424.11841100---00
AS STARTER000---00000---00
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS0311815.864111181800
OVERALL91556724.331644141681211
2018 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETDFL
109/09@ARIW24-626963.6917127035.005201
209/16INDL21-911201.8214033010.002100
309/23GBW31-17191206.32412000000
510/08@NOL43-19461.504023618.002400
610/14CARW23-1717975.71190000000
710/21DALW20-1724994.12230188.00800
810/28@NYGW20-13261495.73641177.00711
911/04ATLL38-149171.891103165.33800
1011/11@TBW16-319683.58180210.50200
* Indicates player did not play that week