headshot
Matt
Ryan
College Boston College
Team Atlanta Falcons
2QB
6'4"Height
217Weight
34Age
12Exp
9Bye
Matt Ryan's Fantasy Scouting Report

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Matt Ryan was the #2 ranked fantasy player this season. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 5 games he averaged 28.3 FPs and that declined to 24.8 in his final 6 games. A fast start and slow end is somewhat expected given his age. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.38 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 26.3 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 46 fantasy points with a floor of 9 points. Matt Ryan (2019 Season Projection: 4712 Yards, 28 TDs, 10 INTs, 123 Rushyd) is projected to deliver comparable fantasy value in 2019 where his projection based rank has him as the #2 player at his position.

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STATISTICAL IMPROVEMENT OVER LAST SEASON

Ryan may be getting older but he did get better this season. His average Fantasy points increased by 57% this season.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

He was the #2 ranked fantasy QB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 26.2 FP per game (#2 ranked based on average). He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is stronger in certain categories which are bolded below.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 22.7 FD points and 24.2 DK points per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 7.6 and on FanDuel it was 7.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 32.3 and 31.7 on FanDuel. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINTTKLD20+40+RATE
2018ATL161660842269.449248.1075357296569108.1
2017ATL161652934264.740957.7488201215654891.4
2016ATL161653437369.949449.26763872356917117.1
2015ATL161661440766.345917.4870211620649989.0
2014ATL161662841566.146947.4779281420560893.9
2013ATL161665143967.445156.9081261729844989.6
2012ATL161661542268.647197.70803214210461099.1
2011ATL161656634761.341777.40802912173551092.2
2010ATL161657135762.537056.504628915832691.0
2009ATL141445126358.329166.509022149231480.9
2008ATL161643426561.134407.9070161110445987.7
Career (12 Seasons)1741746201405265.3467207.539029513321335419994.9
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2018ATL1616331253.7915315
2017ATL1616321434.4716011
2016ATL1616351173.3418013
2015ATL161636631.751808
2014ATL1616291455.0015010
2013ATL161617553.201705
2012ATL1616331384.201617
2011ATL161637842.3012211
2010ATL1616461222.702009
2009ATL141430491.60719
2008ATL1616551041.9017111
Career (12 Seasons)17417438411482.99208109
2018 Situational Stats
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
DECEMBER GAMES5517411264.412417.13751126255.4109101.711282.51
NOVEMBER GAMES4417112371.913487.8850936754.51913105.163050
OCTOBER GAMES331188874.610198.6447504753.41110114.342460
SEPTEMBER GAMES441459968.313169.08751026060.6161011412433.62
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
MONDAY GAMES11393179.53799.7247101548.443115.7210.50
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)22905662.26286.9850222748.291081.242460
SUNDAY GAMES131347933569.939178.187532519457.94329112.4271003.73
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
WINS772521797122048.757517310357.52910115.215563.73
LOSSES9935624368.327207.647518413354.7273210318693.80
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
HOME GAMES8827820272.724528.827518211858.4261811819723.83
ROAD GAMES8833022066.724727.497517511853.6302499.714533.80
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
Bank of America Stadium11261557.72399.197530853.331126.91-1-10
FedExField11382668.43509.2140411765.472121.600---0
FirstEnergy Stadium11523873.13306.353120195042102.23134.30
Heinz Field11382668.42857.5431013503699.1110100
Lambeau Field11422866.72626.2428311657.11297.51000
Lincoln Financial Field11432148.82515.843601942.94457.42840
Mercedes-Benz Stadium8827820272.724528.827518211858.4261811819723.83
Mercedes-Benz Superdome11473574.53778.0250211851.456102.921680
Raymond James Stadium11443170.53788.5937211858.131102.3471.80
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
vs Arizona Cardinals11362261.12316.4222201463.63298.331861
vs Baltimore Ravens11261661.51315.041710637.50387.22420
vs Carolina Panthers22543870.45119.4675512052.681123.35173.42
vs Cincinnati Bengals11392974.441910.744930206953134.5252.50
vs Cleveland Browns11523873.13306.353120195042102.23134.30
vs Dallas Cowboys11342470.62918.5634111354.23394.11110
vs Green Bay Packers11422866.72626.2428311657.11297.51000
vs New Orleans Saints22826174.47519.1675713760.779125.66284.70
vs New York Giants11393179.53799.7247101548.443115.7210.50
vs Philadelphia Eagles11432148.82515.843601942.94457.42840
vs Pittsburgh Steelers11382668.42857.5431013503699.1110100
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers22856272.97338.6237513759.772113.552040
vs Washington Redskins11382668.43509.2140411765.472121.600---0
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)441379670.112599.1975925355.2179114.6410.30
COLD WEATHER <= 4022946670.25926.33151355354100.14133.30
HOT WEATHER >= 80331257862.49147.3143324051.3101185.97253.60
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)22674770.14867.2535402553.244110.73175.70
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
INDOOR GAMES551851357316739.04751428361.52014121.315694.63
OUTDOOR GAMES111142328767.832517.697521515353.33628102.318563.10
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES9932523772.928298.77520313657.43124115.821884.23
ON GRASS FIELDS7728318565.420957.47515410054.1251899.212373.10
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
MARGIN 0-78830321671.327198.977517412557.93018112.120653.32
MARGIN 15+331127466.18667.7343714459.51310106.542871
MARGIN 8-145519313268.413396.94751126750.81314102.79323.60
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FIRST HALF SEASON8830121370.826858.927519312458.23422115.116674.22
SECOND HALF SEASON8830720968.122397.297516411253.62220101.117583.41
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION101038726167.429297.574918414254.4343010117603.51
VS OWN DIVISION6622116172.919959.03751739458.42212120.416654.12
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
VS AFC TEAMS4415510970.311657.5249705853.21214107.183240
VS NFC TEAMS121245331369.137598.37528717856.94428108.425933.73
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 700685479.476811.2958633361.195124.89252.81
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF00835869.97378.8849703458.687125.411211.90
FOURTH DOWN0011872.7958.642730787.522138.31770
FIRST DOWN0027118166.822968.47751759150.32614106.313322.51
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS00513364.73206.2743211957.63587.15397.80
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS0017812871.915838.89751337457.81414116.48111.40
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE00734561.63655192313168.909108.27713
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0019013571.116558.71471027354.12114110.710555.50
THIRD DOWN0014810168.211657.8750727271.31320101.911524.71
TIED001087165.79428.7275503853.51312108.69252.80
SECOND DOWN0017813274.213687.6975806650156110.98344.31
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE0028820771.925118.72752311555.6291796.313423.20
OVERTIME0000---0---0000---00---00---0
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE00573561.43936.8936011748.66274.732170
BEHIND0032222971.125918.057521413056.82424111.415553.70
ATTEMPTS 31+0013810374.611108.0449925452.4100113.500---0
3RD QUARTER001338664.79347.0275514147.712594.65336.61
4TH QUARTER0017113277.215078.81581347657.61410118.714463.31
2ND QUARTER0016911366.914268.44751216456.62015114.29252.81
2ND HALF0030421871.724418.037518511753.72615108.219794.22
1ST HALF0030420467.124838.177517211958.33027107.914463.31
1ST QUARTER001359167.410577.8339515560.41012100.15214.20
AHEAD0017812268.513917.8144936855.7196101.694553
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS001228569.710338.4744534856.516598.87314.43
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-200016010766.913348.34751135652.3190107.700---0
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-300015010771.312558.3758926157150110.800---0
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-100016010565.612257.6643606561.9120101.2331253.83
AS STARTER0000---0---0000---00---00---0
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS00382771.12426.3721201348.111105.421470
OVERALL161660842269.449248.17535723655.95642108.1331253.83
2018 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTPAATTPACMPPAYDPATDPAINTSACYLSRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDFL
109/06@PHIL18-1243212510140284.00600
209/16CARW31-24282327221004184.50820
309/23NOL43-37352637450304123.00700
409/30CINL37-3639294193030252.50400
510/07@PITL41-173826285106011010.001001
610/14TBW34-294131355301011313.001300
710/22NYGW23-2039313791030210.50200
8BYE-L0-0-------------
1011/11@CLEL28-16523833020203134.33801
1111/18DALL22-1934242911130111.00100
1211/22@NOL31-17473537721602168.00901
1312/02BALL26-1626161311030242.00501
1412/09@GBL34-2042282623120100.00000
1512/16ARIW40-14362223120203186.001510
1612/23@CARW24-10261523930101-1-1.00-101
1712/30@TBW34-3244313782110471.751000
* Indicates player did not play that week