headshot
Matthew
Stafford
College Georgia
Team Detroit Lions
9QB
6'3"Height
220Weight
31Age
11Exp
6Bye
Matthew Stafford's Fantasy Scouting Report

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Matthew Stafford had a good fantasy season and was a 'second tier' fantasy star. He was the #22 ranked fantasy player this season. Even though he missed a few games, he played enough to make his overall fantasy rank better than what it is based on average fantasy points where he is the #31 QB. He peaked early in the season. He averaged 21.2 FPs in his first 5 games and 10.6 FP in his final 6 games. His standard deviation divided by his average is 0.49 which is close to the league ratio. He averaged 15.9 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 31 fantasy points with a floor of 5 points. Matthew Stafford (2019 Season Projection: 3963 Yards, 23 TDs, 13 INTs, 101 Rushyd) is projected to take a slight step downward in the upcoming fantasy season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #26 player at his position.

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STATISTICAL DROPOFF FROM PREVIOUS SEASON

Stafford is getting older which might explain his drop-off in production. His fantasy average dropped by 23 percent.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

He was the #18 ranked fantasy QB based on total fantasy points. He averaged 15.9 FP per game (#30 ranked based on average). He is trending down based on lower per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively stronger (stats bolded below) than weaker in more categories.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

He averaged 13.8 FD points and 14.4 DK points per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 4.6 and on FanDuel it was 4.6 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 23.8 and 20.8 on FanDuel. He has had more good FanDuel games (exceed average by 20%) than bad games (20% below average), and the same was true on DraftKings. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINTTKLD20+40+RATE
2018DET161655536766.137776.8167211125544689.9
2017DET161656537165.744467.87712910287611699.3
2016DET161659438865.343277.28732410216521093.3
2015DET161659239867.242627.2057321325149897.0
2014DET161660236360.342577.07732212254531185.7
2013DET161663437158.546507.30872919168621084.2
2012DET161672743559.849676.8057201721263979.8
2011DET161666342163.550387.60734116257641697.2
2010DET33965759.45355.603661364091.3
2009DET101037720153.322676.0075132016926661.0
Career (10 Seasons)1411415405337262.4385267.138723712921054789288.4
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2018DET161625712.841008
2017DET161629983.381509
2016DET1616372075.5924215
2015DET1616441593.6118113
2014DET161643932.161828
2013DET161637691.9014212
2012DET1616351263.6011411
2011DET161622783.502206
2010DET334112.80911
2009DET1010211085.102126
Career (10 Seasons)14114129610203.45241489
2018 Situational Stats
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
DECEMBER GAMES551499563.89366.2841415052.613887.5471.80
NOVEMBER GAMES44153101669296.0743345049.56197810212.10
OCTOBER GAMES338859677108.076061366187109.66142.30
SEPTEMBER GAMES4416511267.912027.2867856255.417692.55295.80
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
MONDAY GAMES11462758.72866.2228141555.65047.91660
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)11382873.72366.2143021242.92267.400---0
SUNDAY GAMES141447131266.232556.916720517154.8373895.824652.70
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
WINS6617611766.512497.160916757.3138101.712292.40
LOSSES10103792506625286.6767121013152.4313284.413423.20
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
HOME GAMES8828818463.918586.45609910255.4211679.68293.60
ROAD GAMES8826718368.519197.19671229652.5232410117422.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
AT&T Stadium1130248030710.2345201458.363131.5252.50
Ford Field8828818463.918586.45609910255.4211679.68293.60
Hard Rock Stadium11221881.82179.8629201055.641138.1492.30
Lambeau Field11322062.52668.314120157531109.62-2-10
Levi's Stadium11533464.23476.556730175032101.71880
New Era Field11292275.92087.174010731.850106.700---0
Soldier Field11422559.52746.52322214562674.9294.50
State Farm Stadium11231565.21014.3917006400174.71770
U.S. Bank Stadium11362569.41995.531800135201083561.20
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
vs Arizona Cardinals11231565.21014.3917006400174.71770
vs Buffalo Bills11292275.92087.174010731.850106.700---0
vs Carolina Panthers11372362.22205.9536101147.82187.73620
vs Chicago Bears22805366.35106.3843242649.14871.4294.50
vs Dallas Cowboys1130248030710.2345201458.363131.5252.50
vs Green Bay Packers22583458.64497.7460402470.644106.23-3-10
vs Los Angeles Rams11332060.62457.423911147044811220
vs Miami Dolphins11221881.82179.8629201055.641138.1492.30
vs Minnesota Vikings22684363.23154.6321002148.811274.1561.20
vs New England Patriots113627752627.2833211659.331101.9110100
vs New York Jets11462758.72866.2228141555.65047.91660
vs Seattle Seahawks11402767.53107.75392117633396.91660
vs San Francisco 49ers11533464.23476.556730175032101.71880
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
COLD WEATHER <= 403310367657487.2641523653.710794.6471.80
HOT WEATHER >= 8011221881.82179.8629201055.641138.1492.30
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)22764964.54485.8967302346.93393.52157.50
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
INDOOR GAMES101035423365.823646.686011912955.4272984.515402.70
OUTDOOR GAMES6620113466.714137.03671026951.5171199.410313.10
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES111138325566.625726.726012913653.3322986.215402.70
ON GRASS FIELDS5517211265.112057.0167926255.4121198.110313.10
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
MARGIN 0-75518713170.113187.0567726146.618897.86193.20
MARGIN 15+5518211764.311296.241556757.3121479.29202.20
MARGIN 8-14661861196413307.1560947058.8141892.410323.20
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FIRST HALF SEASON8828919667.821117.36714611156.6252396.516493.10
SECOND HALF SEASON8826617164.316666.2643758750.9191782.79222.40
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION101034923767.925037.176715712753.6351694.515593.90
VS OWN DIVISION6620613063.112746.1860647154.692482.110121.20
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
VS AFC TEAMS441339470.79737.3240654851.117290.86254.20
VS NFC TEAMS121242227364.728046.646715615054.9273889.619462.40
CategoryGGSATTCOMPPCTYDSYPALGTDINT1ST1ST%20+SACRATEATTYDSAVGRUTD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 700432967.43047.0738221344.85483.92-3-1.50
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF00884854.54374.9729122552.12662.51160.50
FOURTH DOWN007457.1578.142501410012443103.30
FIRST DOWN0019514071.813226.7839736042.9141895.77101.40
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS00995959.66016.0739223457.671075.4571.40
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS001289070.39517.4345434347.8151692.32115.50
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE00713447.92263.18191432264.70577.22840
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE001409366.410377.4145725053.81589912322.70
THIRD DOWN001508657.39306.267865867.4101376.87415.90
TIED00996969.76126.1839523550.76194.3294.50
SECOND DOWN0020313767.514687.2360617655.519796.38101.30
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE0028620069.921367.47670610954.5252382.79313.40
OVERTIME0000---0---0000---00---00---0
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE005840693786.5234001742.54486.72000
BEHIND0030019966.320856.956710810653.3263186.310353.50
ATTEMPTS 31+00955861.16366.6967743458.67087.900---0
3RD QUARTER001177261.59137.843434359.7151186.63165.30
4TH QUARTER0016210665.410696.667955753.8131289.814151.10
2ND QUARTER0015710466.29456.024132514981483.484050
2ND HALF0027917863.819827.16713810056.2282388.417311.80
1ST HALF0027618968.517956.560839851.9161791.484050
1ST QUARTER001198571.48507.1460514755.383101.900---0
AHEAD001569963.510806.9260615757.61289413272.10
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS00916065.96407.03603030507497.37192.70
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-200016010163.110106.3145505251.59091.400---0
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30001409467.110257.3243545255.316088.500---0
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-100016011471.311066.9160436052.612090.825712.80
AS STARTER0000---0---0000---00---00---0
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS00452657.82746.0925111869.23173.84102.50
OVERALL161655536766.137776.8167211119854444089.925712.80
2018 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTPAATTPACMPPAYDPATDPAINTSACYLSRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDFL
109/10NYJL48-1746272861400166.00600
209/16@SFL30-2753343473020188.00801
309/23NEW26-103627262211011010.001000
409/30@DALL26-2430243072030252.50300
510/07GBW31-23261418320301-1-1.00-100
710/21@MIAW32-2122182172010492.25900
810/28SEAL28-1440273102130166.00601
911/04@MINL24-9362519900100561.20801
1011/11@CHIL34-2242252742260294.50500
1111/18CARW20-1937232201010362.00900
1211/22CHIL23-1638282360220000000
1312/02LARL30-1633202451140122.00201
1412/09@ARIW17-323151010010177.00700
1512/16@BUFL14-1329222081000000000
1612/23MINL27-932181160020000000
1712/30@GBW31-0322026620102-2-1.00-100
* Indicates player did not play that week