headshot
Tevin
Coleman
College Indiana
Team San Francisco 49ers
26RB
6'1"Height
210Weight
26Age
6Exp
4Bye
Tevin Coleman's Fantasy Scouting Report

SCOUT ANALYST TAKE

Coleman joins the San Francisco 49ers after spending the first 4 years of his career in Atlanta. Coleman rushed for 800 yards and 4 TDs on 167 carries (4.8 Y/A) last season. Coleman looks to be the 49ers starter after signing for two-years, $10 million, but the 49ers have a very crowded backfield. RB Jerrick McKinnon signed a big contract with the 49ers last season and was the favorite to be the starter before tearing his ACL last season. Matt Breida was the 49ers leading rusher with 814 yards on 153 rushing attempts, and he is also back this season. Breida's 5.3 yards per carry ranked 4th among running backs last season, and he should see plenty of game action this season. SportsLine projects Coleman to rush for 948 yards and 5 TDs on 192 attempts (4.9 AVE), which I think is too generous for Coleman at the moment. Breida, McKinnon, and Coleman are all going to see a lot of playing time, and I'm not quite sure that Coleman is going to be the player among those three to breakout. Coleman's ADP is 67, and I would caution against drafting him that high. He is a low-end RB-2 in my opinion, and I would probably stay away from all 49ers' RBs until one of them breaks out.

REST OF SEASON OUTLOOK AND POSITION RANK

Expect Tevin Coleman to be a reliable fantasy starter the rest of the season. His 148 projected fantasy points puts him at #24 behind Damien Williams and ahead of Phillip Lindsay. He has averaged 10.1 fantasy points in his past 16 games, which is slightly more than our projected per game average. His projected per game average is 9.3 fantasy points. His rank based on avg proj (#25) is worse than his rank based on total fantasy points. He is less valuable in PPR leagues where he is the #34 ranked running back. He is overrated if you compare his ownership based rank with his projection rank. At 99%, he is the #19 most highly owned running back. Tevin Coleman is expected to come up short of last season's #18 fantasy position rank.

TEVIN COLEMAN WEEK 1 AND 2 FANTASY OUTLOOK

Tevin Coleman is projected for 9.8 fantasy points in week 1 which ranks him a the #21 projected running back for the week and a starter for most fantasy teams. This is projected to be a slightly better than average week with more fantasy points than he is projected to average the rest of the season. He is ranked above Sony Michel but behind Derrick Henry. Week 2 will be slightly worse based on projected rank (#23). He is projected for 9.7 fantasy points.

TEVIN COLEMAN IS A BETTER VALUE ON DRAFTKINGS AT $5K THAN ON FANDUEL AT $6.3

He is a better value on DrafKings than on FanDuel based on position specific points per dollar calculations. He is projected for 10.3 FD points and is worth -$143 less than $6.3K on FD. On DK he is projected for 11.5 points and is worth $5K. Below are how he ranks based on projected fantasy points on both DFS platforms. Look for players with more FPs at lower salaries.

FANTASY PROJECTIONS AND ACTUAL STATS

The tables below show projected stats (totals and averages) for the rest of the season and upcoming weeks. Below the projection are actual stats from last season.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2019SF14111375443.9748626
2018ATL16141678004.7965436
2017ATL1531566284.0352527
2016ATL1301185204.4155824
2015ATL123873924.5146114
Career (5 Seasons)703166528844.346524127
YEARTEAMGGSRECYDSAVGLGTD20+40+1ST
2019SF1411211808.57371209
2018ATL1614322768.623953015
2017ATL1532729911.073934013
2016ATL1303142113.584938316
2015ATL1232147.00100000
Career (5 Seasons)7031113119010.53491217353
2019 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
DECEMBER GAMES522964.43370216800
NOVEMBER GAMES332932.942219901000
OCTOBER GAMES5773324.3184858415.111
SEPTEMBER GAMES16233.8112023316.500
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MONDAY GAMES2251375.56221432800
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)217563.351202136.500
SUNDAY GAMES10953513.71548515135911
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
WINS111194583.824486161398.711
LOSSES318864.823705418.200
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
HOME GAMES7683685.417485111039.411
ROAD GAMES7691762.6912110777.700
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
CenturyLink Field15112.205017700
FedExField120623.12902-1-0.500
Levi's Stadium7683685.417485111039.411
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum118452.5391216800
M&T Bank Stadium1561.202019900
Mercedes-Benz Superdome136206000---00
Raymond James Stadium16233.8112023316.500
State Farm Stadium112231.93802136.500
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
vs Arizona Cardinals224371.538056112.200
vs Atlanta Falcons144010137000---00
vs Baltimore Ravens1561.202019900
vs Carolina Panthers1111059.554832136.511
vs Cleveland Browns116976.1519100---00
vs Green Bay Packers111393.53111210500
vs Los Angeles Rams223783.45121216800
vs New Orleans Saints136206000---00
vs Seattle Seahawks214513.612205397.800
vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers16233.8112023316.500
vs Washington Redskins120623.12902-1-0.500
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)4341464.3537036200
COLD WEATHER <= 401561.202019900
HOT WEATHER >= 802221205.5619123316.500
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)6732663.615485151328.811
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
INDOOR GAMES136206000---00
OUTDOOR GAMES13134538426486211808.611
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES313231.8060216800
ON GRASS FIELDS111245214.226486191648.611
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
MARGIN 0-77431593.773708617.600
MARGIN 15+3382416.3134854235.811
MARGIN 8-144561442.6612199610.700
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FIRST HALF SEASON6833554.31948510747.411
SECOND HALF SEASON8541893.57371111069.600
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION8763785174859647.111
VS OWN DIVISION6611662.79221121169.700
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
VS AFC TEAMS2211034.9519119900
VS NFC TEAMS121164413.821485201718.611
CATEGORYGRUATTRUYDRUAVGRU1STRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETD
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 7020844.231204358.800
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF014997.12482327900
FOURTH DOWN0273.518000---00
FIRST DOWN08132641148579713.900
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS0510205000---00
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS0207946371710615.100
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE027672.561954358.811
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE0402476.2114815265.200
THIRD DOWN014453.25905234.600
TIED027782.93221214700
SECOND DOWN0401664.293719606.711
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE0501272.561509667.300
OVERTIME000---00000---00
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE0201035.2337035317.700
BEHIND025893.66371710615.100
ATTEMPTS 31+000---00000---00
3RD QUARTER0381072.8615177210.300
4TH QUARTER0331103.341405377.400
2ND QUARTER0271876.974826589.711
2ND HALF0712173.110151121099.100
1ST HALF0663275164859717.911
1ST QUARTER0391403.692233134.300
AHEAD0853774.4174841260511
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS043171462215163.200
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-20030893514100---00
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30000---00000---00
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-1001074554.32148500---00
AS STARTER000---00000---00
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS021914.361916416.811
OVERALL14137544426486211808.611
2019 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETDFL
109/08@TBW31-176233.8312023316.503100
*209/15@CINW41-1700000000000
*309/22PITW24-2000000000000
510/07CLEW31-316976.06191000000
610/13@LARW20-718452.50912168.001400
710/20@WASW9-020623.10902-1-0.50000
810/27CARW51-13111059.554832136.501010
910/31@ARIW28-2512231.92802136.50900
1011/11SEAL27-249404.442204328.001600
1111/17ARIW36-2612141.174034816.003700
1211/24GBW37-811393.551112105.00800
1312/01@BALL20-17561.2020199.00900
1412/08@NOW48-46362.0060000000
1512/15ATLL29-2244010.00370000000
1612/21LARW34-315336.60120000000
1712/29@SEAW26-215112.2050177.00700
* Indicates player did not play that week