headshot
Adam
Thielen
College Minnesota State
Team Minnesota Vikings
19WR
6'2"Height
200Weight
28Age
6Exp
12Bye
Adam Thielen's Fantasy Scouting Report

As you may have noticed we have transformed Scout into a data and stats driven service geared towards helping invested fans make the right decisions on a daily basis. This is our new Fantasy Scouting Report that we produce for each fantasy relevant player. We treat them like a stock and report their value in season long fantasy, the current fantasy week, and if applicable, on FanDuel and on DraftKings. We establish what is expected of the player based on fantasy ownership %, start %, and DFS Salary and see if our proprietary forecasting model projects a better or worse than expected performance. For complete recaps of the best and worst values for each market (season, weekly, daily), injury reports and team outlooks be sure to check out the new Scout.

2018 FANTASY RECAP AND 2019 FANTASY PROJECTION

Adam Thielen was the #45 ranked fantasy player this season and the #7 WR. His elite ranking was helped by his higher games played (16). Based on average fantasy points he is the #8 WR. His production dropped throughout the season. In his first 5 games he averaged 15.4 FPs and that declined to 8.2 in his final 6 games. Based on a relatively low standard deviation, Thielen can be considered a consistent fantasy player. He averaged 12.1 FPs, but on any given day his projected ceiling is as high as 20 fantasy points. Adam Thielen (2019 Season Projection: 107 Rec, 1382 Yards, 6.6 TDs, 24 Rushyd) is projected to take a slight step downward in the upcoming fantasy season. His rank based on total projected fantasy points has him as the #10 player at his position.

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UPWARD STATISTICAL CAREER TREND

He has improved his fantasy point average for the past two seasons. His three season trend show an increase of 39% in fantasy points per game.

PAST FANTASY PERFORMANCE (2017 TO 2018)

He was the #7 ranked fantasy WR based on total fantasy points. He averaged 12.1 FP per game (#8 ranked based on average). He is trending up based on improved per game fantasy ranking from 2017 to 2018. He is relatively weaker than stronger in more categories. The strengths are bolded below.

DAILY FANTASY SEASON RECAP

His FanDuel average was 16.4 points and on DraftKings it was 21.8 per game. We used his second highest game as his ceiling and second lowest as his floor. On DraftKings his floor was 3.9 and on FanDuel it was 2.9 fantasy points. When he was good, he was very good with a DraftKings ceiling of 32.3 and 23.8 on FanDuel. He has had an equal number of good (20% above average) and bad games (20% below) on FanDuel, but on DraftKings he has had more good than bad games. We are only including games where they were in the daily fantasy slate and played.

Career Stats
YEARTEAMGGSRECYDSAVGLGTD20+40+1ST
2018MIN1616113137312.1568917374
2017MIN161691127614.0265420559
2016MIN16106996714.0171516244
2015MIN1621214412.00300105
2014MIN162813717.12441217
2013MIN00000.00-1270000
Career (7 Seasons)8046293389713.3071195611189
YEARTEAMGGSATTYDSAVGLGTD1ST
2018MIN16165306.001501
2017MIN161611111.001101
2016MIN16102157.501101
2015MIN16248922.254104
2014MIN162000.00000
2013MIN00000.00-12700
Career (7 Seasons)80461214512.084107
2018 Situational Stats
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
DECEMBER GAMES52023511.811115521
NOVEMBER GAMES31921311.2221473.730
OCTOBER GAMES43445213.3442470.661
SEPTEMBER GAMES44047311.8222562.561
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
MONDAY GAMES1570140048010
OTHER DAYS (NON MON/SUN)1813516.911810021
SUNDAY GAMES14100116811.7886262142
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
WINS85269713.4553771.292
LOSSES74954511.1333163.351
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
HOME GAMES85563711.6443665.560
ROAD GAMES85873612.7553865.5113
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
CenturyLink Field1570140048010
Ford Field1580160036011
Gillette Stadium15285.61112000
Lambeau Field11213110.91165030
Lincoln Financial Field1711616.611685.721
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum1813516.911810021
MetLife Stadium1911012.211555.620
Soldier Field17669.400571.400
U.S. Bank Stadium85563711.6443665.560
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
vs Arizona Cardinals11112311.211763.600
vs Buffalo Bills1141057.500535.700
vs Chicago Bears21010410.40077000
vs Detroit Lions2910211.311555.611
vs Green Bay Packers22025612.822136560
vs Los Angeles Rams1813516.911810021
vs Miami Dolphins12199.50015000
vs New England Patriots15285.61112000
vs New Orleans Saints1710314.711685.720
vs New York Jets1911012.211555.620
vs Philadelphia Eagles1711616.611685.721
vs Seattle Seahawks1570140048010
vs San Francisco 49ers161021700610010
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
BRISK (41-60 DEGREES)31920810.9221052.630
COLD WEATHER <= 4017669.400571.400
HOT WEATHER >= 8011213110.91165030
WARM (61-79 DEGREES)21525116.7221493.342
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
INDOOR GAMES9607171244396571
OUTDOOR GAMES75365612.4553566102
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
ON ARTIFICIAL SURFACES127992511.7664962101
ON GRASS FIELDS43444813.2332573.572
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
MARGIN 0-754257313.6443276.2102
MARGIN 15+5343369.9221647.131
MARGIN 8-1463746412.5332670.340
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
FIRST HALF SEASON87492512.5664966.2122
SECOND HALF SEASON83944811.5332564.151
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
OUTSIDE OWN DIVISION107491112.3664966.2102
VS OWN DIVISION63946211.8332564.171
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
VS AFC TEAMS4302628.722124020
VS NFC TEAMS1283111113.4776274.7153
CATEGORYGRECYDSAVGLGTD1ST1ST%20+40+
LAST TWO MINUTES OF HALF02930710.633206931
OPP 19-1 - BY YARD LINE0159066696000
FOURTH QUARTER WITHIN 703227.300310000
FOURTH DOWN026311210000
BEHIND BY 9-TO-16 POINTS01717610.4111164.710
FIRST DOWN04665314.2332758.7101
OPP 49-20 - BY YARD LINE02737914332074.162
OVERTIME01252500110010
TIED02033316.711199570
TIES11213110.91165030
THIRD DOWN02933511.6112172.451
SECOND DOWN03637910.5442466.721
OWN 1-20 - BY YARD LINE01118917.200763.621
OWN 21-50 - BY YARD LINE06071511.9003863.390
BEHIND BY 1-TO-8 POINTS02227412.5221359.132
BEHIND05763011.1443357.962
3RD QUARTER02940313.9331758.642
4TH QUARTER02931911221965.550
2ND QUARTER03741511.2332670.351
2ND HALF05872212.4553662.192
1ST HALF05462611.6443768.571
1ST QUARTER01721112.4111164.720
AHEAD03641011.4442261.141
AHEAD BY 1-TO-8 POINTS0262178.3441661.500
ATTEMPTS 21-THROUGH-30000---000---00
ATTEMPTS 31+000---000---00
ATTEMPTS 11-THROUGH-20000---000---00
ATTEMPTS 1-THROUGH-10000---000---00
AHEAD BY 9-TO-16 POINTS0817922.40067541
AS STARTER000---000---00
OVERALL16113137312.2997465.5173
2018 Game Log
WKDATEOPPRESULTTARRECPTREYDREAVGRELGRETDRUATTRUYDRUAVGRULGRUTDFL
109/09SFW24-1612610217.00340000000
209/16@GBL29-29131213110.92251000000
309/23BUFL27-619141057.50190000000
409/27@LARL38-3112813516.88451000000
510/07@PHIW23-2110711616.57681000000
610/14ARIW27-17131112311.18171000000
710/21@NYJW37-1710911012.22341000000
810/28NOL30-207710314.7128111515.001501
911/04DETW24-974225.50111155.00500
10BYE-L0-0------------
1111/18@CHIL25-20127669.43130000000
1312/02@NEL24-10105285.6091000000
1412/10@SEAL21-7757014.00350188.00800
1512/16MIAW41-1722199.50140000000
1612/23@DETW27-9658016.00400133.00300
1712/30CHIL24-10433812.671801-1-1.00-100
* Indicates player did not play that week