REGULAR SEASON RECAP AND UPCOMING GAMES

After 7 games, their expected win percentage is 47% based on the money line odds. At 5-2 they are well ahead of expectations. Money line betters would be up big taking them in every game (+261 units). They are 5-2 on puck line bets for a 339 profit. Their under-over record is 5-2. They were expected to win 44% of their games last season so their 35-37-10 met expectations. Money Line bettors lost -404 on them. They were not good on puck lines going 41-41 (-1729 loss). More of their games came in under (47) than went over (32). Based on computer simulations they only have a 42% chance to beat the Hurricanes in their next game. The table below shows their upcoming games, their simulation based win percentage and their recent head to head record (WL, ATS, OU).

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SEASON FORECASTS AND FUTURES PICKS

The Ducks had a tough season last year and ended up with 80 points. I expect them to regress as they did not get better, which would keep them well under the 82.5 point line for the season. There are 8 teams who have 30/1, 3.2% odds to win the Stanley Cup. They have no chance to win the championship. They are not a good value to win the West either at 15/1, 6.2%. They are projected to finish with 78 points and come in under their pre-season futures line of 82.5. Their playoff chances stand at 7.2% (0.2% to win the division). Their average wins per simulation puts them at #12 in the West.

TEAM STATISTICAL STRENGTHS AND WEAKNESSES

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average goal differential is +0.86 which ranks #8 in the league, but their rank based on points (per game) is #6. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #5 ranked team in goal differential in home games, vs #10 in road games. Their average goal differential in their past 7 games is +0.86 which ranks them #7 over this stretch, slightly better than the season overall.

OFFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

DEFENSIVE STATS PER GAME (Lower # is Better):

TEAM FANTASY LEADERS

The table below show the most valuable fantasy players on the team led by John Gibson who is projected to be the #25 Goalie the rest of the season. The Better Option column shows the player directly above him and the Better Than column shows the player directly below him in the projected position rankings.